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Bitcoin Avoids Bear Market, Long-Term Uptrend Intact

Resistance near $50,000 to $55,000 could stall the recovery given short-term overbought signals.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:15 p.m. Published Aug 11, 2021, 9:30 a.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) remains in a long-term uptrend despite the sharp 50% correction from the all-time high of over $63,000 in April. Buyers were able to defend support at around $30,000 after a two-month consolidation phase, which resolved to the upside. Bitcoin faces resistance at $50,000 to $55,000, which could stall the recovery given short-term overbought signals.

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The chart below shows an ascending channel, which is formed from the 2017 price high of nearly $16,000 and the 2021 price high of around $63,000. The 2019 and 2020 price lows formed rising support as buyers reacted to oversold conditions.

Unlike the 2018 bear market, bitcoin is currently holding above the 40-week moving average, which reflects renewed upside momentum. Bitcoin will need to form a decisive break above $55,000 to fully resolve the selling pressure from May.

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