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Bitcoin Upside Stalls; Lower Support at $38K-$40K

Bitcoin is up about 20% over the past week, compared to a 25% rise in ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market value.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:25 p.m. Published Aug 10, 2021, 11:13 a.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is roughly flat over the past 24 hours as the rally near $45,000 appears exhausted. Short-term overbought signals could encourage profit-taking, although buyers will likely return around the $38,000 to $40,000 support zone.

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Bitcoin is up about 20% over the past week, compared to a 25% rise in ether (ETH), the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market value.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) on the four-hour chart registered lower highs and is declining from overbought territory. Typically, short-term overbought signals precede price declines of about 5% to 10%.
  • Initial support is seen at the $40,000 breakout level, which resolved a two-month consolidation to the upside.
  • Bitcoin will need to hold above the 200-day moving average, currently around $45,000, to confirm a reversal of the intermediate-term downtrend since April.

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Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

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What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.

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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind

Aerial view of Tokyo (Jaison Lin/Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)

A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.

What to know:

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
  • A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.