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Bitcoin Rejected Near $38K After Two-Day Price Gain

Bitcoin's range play continues even as short-term price indicator turns bullish.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:15 p.m. Published Jun 1, 2021, 11:59 a.m.
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Bitcoin is struggling to extend its two-day winning trend and remains coiled in a narrowing price range. The cryptocurrency is currently trading 2% lower on the day near $36,600, having faced rejection around $37,900 during the Asian hours.

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The cryptocurrency dropped 35% in May, registering one of its biggest monthly drops on record. Prices are still up 25% on a year-to-date basis.

  • Bitcoin's recent price congestion between $30,000 and $40,000 has taken the shape of a symmetrical triangle.
  • The daily chart MACD histogram has crossed above zero, signaling scope for a triangle breakout.
  • Bounce, if any, is likely to be short-lived, as the weekly chart MACD remains biased bearish below zero.
  • "Intermediate-term momentum is to the downside, so we assume the rebound will be short-lived, giving way to another lower high within the corrective phase," Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, said in a weekly research note published on Monday.
  • The immediate resistance comes at $38,900 (upper end of the triangle), followed by the 200-day simple moving average at $41,252.
  • The lower end of the triangle may offer support ahead of the psychological level of $30,000.

Also read: Bitcoin's Long-Term Put Options See Sustained Demand as Price Consolidates

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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Steadies Around 90k With Liquidity Drained and a Fed Cut Fully Priced In

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QCP notes participation has collapsed while Polymarket sees a shallow easing path, putting the focus on guidance and cross central bank signals.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin remains around $90,000 as thin year-end liquidity leads to volatility and range-bound trading.
  • Traders expect a shallow easing path from the Fed, with more focus on guidance than the anticipated rate cut.
  • Global market movements are influenced by diverging central bank policies and macroeconomic signals.