Share this article

Guggenheim CIO Says Bitcoin 'Should Be Worth' $400,000

Minerd based his analysis on bitcoin's scarcity and relative value to gold.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 10:44 a.m. Published Dec 16, 2020, 8:19 p.m.
shutterstock_696079954

Guggenheim Partners Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd shocked Bloomberg TV hosts Wednesday afternoon when he said his firm's fundamental analysis shows bitcoin should be worth $400,000.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters

  • "Our fundamental work shows that bitcoin should be worth around $400,000," said Minerd. "Whoa!" responded one of the hosts.
  • That sky-high price target is based on two things, according to Minerd: the asset's scarcity and its relative value to gold as a percentage of gross domestic product.
  • "Bitcoin has a lot of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual value in terms of transactions," Minerd told Bloomberg TV.
  • Guggenheim made the decision to start allocating to bitcoin when the leading cryptocurrency was trading around $10,000, Minerd said.
  • Minerd said allocating to bitcoin, given its current price above $20,000, is "a little more challenging."
  • Guggenheim Partners manages more than $230 billion worth of assets.

More For You

Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

GP Basic Image

What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.

More For You

Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind

Aerial view of Tokyo (Jaison Lin/Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)

A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.

What to know:

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
  • A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.