The leading cryptocurrency by market value is trading just over $11,000 at press time, having found bids below $10,800 on Thursday, according to CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index.
Buyers, however, have been struggling to keep prices above $11,000 over the last few days.
The cryptocurrency clocked highs of $11,104 and $11,050 on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, but printed a UTC closing price below $11,000 on both occasions.
Bitcoin daily chart
Notably, bitcoin created a doji candle on Thursday, as it swung both ways before ending the day on a flat note.
A doji shows both buyers and sellers are not willing to lead the price action.
However, new investors are entering the market at a faster pace and one may expect bitcoin to post sustainable gains above $11,000.
On the other hand, on-chain analyst Cole Garner believes the recent spike in bitcoin outflows from miner wallets to exchanges is a cause for concern for traders expecting a continued price recovery.
According to data source Glassnode, 1,113.85 BTC were transferred to exchange wallets from miner wallets on Sept. 13 – the biggest single day outflow since December.
Miner outflows to exchanges
An increased supply of bitcoin moving onto exchanges suggests increased selling pressure.
So far, however, bitcoin has largely remained resilient and is up 6% this week.
This may have been helped by investors moving money out of alternative cryptocurrencies and into bitcoin, according to Patrick Heusser, a senior cryptocurrency trader at Zurich-based Crypto Broker AG, told CoinDesk in a Twitter chat.
Indeed, major alternative cryptocurrencies such as etherETH$1,978.09, bitcoin cash (BCH) and litecoinLTC$54.49 have depreciated by 2% to 5% against bitcoin in the past seven days. Chainlink's LINK token is down 17%, according to data source Messari.
Should the latest indecisive price action end with an upward move, the focus would shift to the next hurdle at $11,200. That level served as strong support in August.
Thursday's low of $10,765 is the level to defend for the bulls.
McGlone links bitcoin’s downturn to record U.S. market cap-to-GDP levels, low equity volatility and rising gold prices, warning of potential contagion into stocks.
What to know:
Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warns that collapsing crypto prices and a potential bitcoin slide toward $10,000 could signal mounting financial stress and foreshadow a U.S. recession.
McGlone argues the post-2008 "buy the dip" era may be ending as crypto weakens, stock market valuations sit near century highs relative to GDP, and equity volatility remains unusually low.
Market analyst Jason Fernandes counters that a drop to $10,000 bitcoin would likely require a severe systemic shock and recession, calling such an outcome a low-probability tail risk compared with a milder reset or consolidation.