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Bitcoin Bulls Seek Stronger Move After Bounce to $8.8K Loses Momentum

Bitcoin continues to defend key support, but a sustained move above $8,750 is needed to revive the short-term bull case.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 1:51 p.m. Published Jan 22, 2020, 10:29 a.m.
btc chart

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  • Bitcoin needs to see a sustained move above $8,750 to confirm an end of the price pullback from Sunday's high near $9,200.
  • A strong move past that level will likely fuel a re-test of $9,200. That looks likely, with the longer duration charts flashing bullish signals.
  • A break below key support near $8,460 would open the door for a drop back to $8,200-$8,000.

Bitcoin's bounce from key price support is struggling to gather traction.

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The top cryptocurrency by market value made a reversal from levels near $8,461 (Sunday's low) during Tuesday's U.S. trading hours, rising to a high of $8,793 earlier today, according to CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index.

The bulls have defended the $8,460 level multiple times since late on Sunday. Tuesday's bounce was the third successful defense of the former resistance-turned-support of the last 72 hours (bitcoin had dropped back at the same level on Jan. 8).

This morning's spike to $8,793 in the Asian trading hours was short-lived, and the cryptocurrency is currently trading near $8,630. Similar price action has been seen in the last 48 hours.

Essentially, bitcoin is generally trapped in the $8,460-$8,750 trading range and only a sustained break above $8,750 would imply bull revival.

Hourly chart
btcusd-hourly-12

The range-bound trading is taking place following a convincing downside breach of the ascending trendline over the weekend.

An hourly close below $8,461 would confirm range breakdown and signal a continuation of the pullback from $9,188, opening the door to support at $8,200 (horizontal line) and possibly to $8,000.

On the other hand, an hourly close above $8,750 would confirm an end of the pullback and could fuel a rise to recent highs near $9,200.

An upwards move looks the more likely path ahead, as the longer duration charts are reporting bullish conditions.

Daily and 4-hour charts
daily-and-4h-chart

Bitcoin created a bullish outside-day candle on Tuesday, which occurs when prices close the day on a positive note, engulfing preceding day's trading range. The candle is widely considered as an early warning of an impending bullish move.

Further, the higher lows on the 4-hour chart's MACD are signaling a weakening of bearish momentum.

The weekly chart, too, is indicating the path of least resistance is to the higher side.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

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Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 as U.S. recession risk builds, Mike McGlone says

Bitcoin bus (Photo: Olivier Acuna/Modified by CoinDesk)

McGlone links bitcoin’s downturn to record U.S. market cap-to-GDP levels, low equity volatility and rising gold prices, warning of potential contagion into stocks.

What to know:

  • Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warns that collapsing crypto prices and a potential bitcoin slide toward $10,000 could signal mounting financial stress and foreshadow a U.S. recession.
  • McGlone argues the post-2008 "buy the dip" era may be ending as crypto weakens, stock market valuations sit near century highs relative to GDP, and equity volatility remains unusually low.
  • Market analyst Jason Fernandes counters that a drop to $10,000 bitcoin would likely require a severe systemic shock and recession, calling such an outcome a low-probability tail risk compared with a milder reset or consolidation.