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Bitcoin Price Sees High-Volume Recovery From Five-Week Lows

Bitcoin's rebound from the five-week low of $6,100 has saved the day for the bulls and kept range-bound trading conditions intact.

Updated Sep 13, 2021, 8:24 a.m. Published Sep 20, 2018, 11:00 a.m.
bitcoin, markets

Bitcoin's has made a high volume recovery from five-week lows, although a bullish reversal is still not confirmed, technical studies indicate.

The leading cryptocurrency fell to $6,100 on Bitfinex at 18:00 UTC yesterday – the lowest level since Aug. 14 – signaling a downside break of the trendline connecting the June low and Aug. 11 low (lower edge of the pennant).

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However, the cryptocurrency picked up a strong bid just an hour later and jumped to a high of $6,550. More importantly, trading volumes on Bitfinex increased by 66 percent during the price recovery.

While the persistent failure to beat the key support could be taken as a sign of bearish exhaustion, the upside is seen gathering pace only above $6,600 (Sept. 14 high).

At press time, BTC is trading at $6,400, representing a 1.10 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

1-hour chart

btcusd-hourly-chart-6

As can be seen, the big move higher witnessed during the 60 minutes leading up to 19:00 UTC yesterday was backed by a jump in trading volumes. However, so far, the follow-through has been anything but encouraging.

Nevertheless, the strong rebound from $6,100 has established the figure as a key near-term support.

Daily chart

btcusd-double-bottom

Bitcoin remains stuck in no-man's land on the daily chart defined by the lower end of the pennant pattern and the Sept. 14 high of $6,600.

As of writing, the pennant support is located at $6,225. A UTC close below that level would signal a revival of the sell-off from May highs near $10,000.

On the other hand, a move above $6,600 would imply a double bottom bullish reversal. This scenario is looking increasingly likely, courtesy of repeated rebounds at the lower end of the pennant pattern.

View

  • BTC's high volume reversal from $6,100 has raised the odds of a break above $6,600 (double bottom neckline).
  • A double bottom breakout, if confirmed, would open the doors to $7,100 (target as per the measured move method).
  • On the downside, a UTC close below $6,225 (trendline support) may yield a drop to $5,859 (August low) and $5,755 (June low).

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; Charts by Trading View

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Key bitcoin price levels to watch as downward pressure builds

True Market Mean Price (Glassnode)

As bitcoin remains in a downtrend, several technical and onchain levels stand out as critical areas of support.

What to know:

  • The 100-week moving average at $87,145 remains the main line of defense.
  • Below this, the cost basis of U.S. spot bitcoin ETF buyers at $84,099 has provided support during recent consolidation.
  • A sustained break below $80,000 would likely open the door to a revisit of the April 2025 low near $76,000.