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Bitcoin Hits Milestone vs. Gold as Cycle Pattern Flags $120K by Year-End: Van Straten
The market price of bitcoin, priced in gold hit an all-time high of 39 ounces.
Dec 5, 2024, 11:26 a.m.
What to know:
- Bitcoin priced in gold hit 39 ounces, an all-time high.
- Bitcoin is following a four-year cycle, which would place an end-of-year target of around $120,000.
Bitcoin , Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said yesterday, is not a competitor of the U.S. dollar but to gold.
Not only did the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization soar through $100,000 during Asia trading hours, reaching a record $104,000, it's also at an all-time high when priced in gold, worth about 39 ounces, breaking through the last remaining resistance level for that trading pair. It has also hit records against silver and the S&P 500.
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The price action means bitcoin is now an over-$2 trillion asset class, with its sights on overtaking Google (GOOG), whose market cap is $2.14 trillion, and Amazon (AMZ) at $2.29 trillion. That would happen if it hit $115,000 a token and make it the fifth-largest global asset.
Where to from here?
Many data points are looking at an extremely bullish end of the year for bitcoin, and why not? It's already up 132% in 2024.
Measuring from the cycle low, which took place during the collapse of crypto exchange FTX back in November 2022, when the price was hovering around $15,000, bitcoin has increased almost sevenfold.
This is typical. Measuring bitcoin from the cycle low against the previous two cycles, bitcoin is currently in between both these cycles in terms of returns. If bitcoin were to finish in between the two previous cycles as it has been doing for much of this cycle, a price target of around $120,000 a token is probable.
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Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb
The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.
What to know:
- Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
- The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
- Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.
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