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Bitcoin's Short Term Momentum Flips Bearish; Support Under $65K

The 50-day simple moving average marks major support at $64,870.

May 31, 2024, 11:01 a.m. 1 min read
Bear (mana5280/Unsplash)
  • Technical indicators suggest that bitcoin’s short-term momentum has flipped bearish.
  • The 50-day simple moving average marks major support at $64,870.

Technical indicators that gauge bitcoin's price movement over the short term have flipped bearish, with crucial support positioned under $65,000.

The cryptocurrency’s 10-day momentum, which compares the going market price with the price from 10 days ago, has declined below zero, indicating renewed negative momentum. Traders use the momentum indicator to confirm market trends and spot trend exhaustion.

Similarly, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, which employs the 26-day and 12-day exponential moving averages, has turned negative. The indicator is widely used to spot trend changes, with crossovers under zero signaling price losses.

Both indicators suggest the path of least resistance is to the downside, which is consistent with analysts’ view that rising U.S. Treasury yields pose a downside risk to bitcoin.

The pivotal 50-day simple moving average at $64,870 is the key support to watch out for. The probability of a drop toward the same would increase should the U.S. inflation data, due later Friday, beat estimates.

BTC's daily chart with indicators. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The upper end of the channel, identified by trendlines connecting highs and lows hit in March and April, is the resistance for the bulls to beat. A move higher would mean the resumption of the broader uptrend.

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Trace Mayer (Trace Mayer)

The creator of the Mayer Multiple argues bitcoin’s growing economic substance is compressing volatility and attracting deeper capital.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin volatility has dropped from around 120 in 2017 to 35 as institutional participation and options markets add stability to the asset.
  • Mayer believes lower volatility makes bitcoin more investable for corporations, family offices, and institutional investors.
  • Despite long-term concerns around miner security incentives and quantum computing, Mayer remains bullish...