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Bitcoin Rangebound at Support; Resistance at $36K

Minor support is seen at $33,000, which is near the 100-day moving average on the four-hour chart.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:37 p.m. Published Jul 6, 2021, 11:21 a.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) was holding support around $33,000 at press time and is down about 5% over the past week. The cryptocurrency had a choppy trading session during Asia hours and is stuck in a tight range since June. Initial resistance is seen at $36,000 as short-term buyers continue to take profits.

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  • A series of lower price highs over the past two weeks has prevented bitcoin from reaching $40,000, which is the top of the trading range.
  • Minor support is seen at $33,000, which is near the 100-day moving average on the four-hour chart.
  • Bitcoin also has a series of higher price lows from the June 22 shakeout around $29,000. Lower price highs and higher prices lows indicates a period of consolidation as buyers and sellers are undecided about future price direction.
  • The relative strength index (RSI) is broadly neutral after reaching overbought levels on July 4, which preceded a pullback in price.

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Gold's six-month rally versus bitcoin shows similarities to the 2019 cycle

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The bitcoin-to-gold ratio rebounded from recent lows, mirroring a pattern seen in the 2019-2020.

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  • Bitcoin is on track for a sixth consecutive red monthly candle against gold, a pattern last seen in 2019/20.
  • The bitcoin-to-gold ratio has rebounded to around 16.3 after briefly falling to 15.5 as gold and silver declined more sharply than bitcoin over the past 24 hours.
  • A potential bottom in the ratio would not necessarily signal bitcoin strength, but could instead reflect continued underperformance in gold relative to bitcoin