“Bitcoin has accelerated to the upside on positive short-term momentum, upholding overbought conditions following its recent breakout above former resistance from 2019,” said Katie Stockton, a technical analyst for Fairlead Strategies.
Momentum, as measured in the form of volume, was at $688 million as of press time, higher than the past month’s $404 million daily average on major spot exchanges.
USD/BTC volume on major exchanges the past month.
“The next resistance is final resistance from 2017 near $19,500,” Stockton added. Based on CoinDesk 20 data, the last time bitcoin was at this price level was back on Jan. 6, 2018, when the daily high was at $17,211.
Daily bitcoin trading on Bitstamp since 2017.
In addition to bitcoin’s bullish run, global equities were also up Monday across the board, boosted by positive economic news – and promising results for another COVID-19 vaccine – in the face of a resurgence in the coronavirus pandemic:
The Nikkei 225 closed in the green 2% as Japanese gross domestic product numbers grew by more than anticipated, boosting investor confidence.
According to several analysts, the climbing value of bitcoin is also giving the world’s oldest cryptocurrency an increasing use as value storage for lending, both from centralized players and in decentralized finance, or DeFi. Since November 2019, the amount of bitcoin “locked” in DeFi, for example, has skyrocketed from 1,422 to 174,673 BTC, a 12,183% increase.
Bitcoin locked in DeFi the past year.
“Lending has gained popularity in 2020 with players like Nexo, BlockFi and others with strong growth throughout the year,” said Jean Baptiste Pavageau, partner at quant trading firm ExoAlpha. “DeFi also allows the retail market to access those popular lending solutions thanks to the Ethereum network.”
“It actually provides a strong use case for BTC beyond the digital gold narrative, as it's used as a pooling and yielding instrument,” said Vishal Shah, an options trader and founder of crypto exchange Alpha5. Shah also speculates that all this bitcoin on the Ethereum blockchain may decrease the separation between blockchains. “It may actually create a chain-agnostic paradigm.”
Uniswap, tether dominate Ethereum transactions
Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was up Monday trading around $462 and climbing 4% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).
Since the start of July, the Ethereum network has been averaging over one million transactions per day, according to data aggregator Glassnode. That number of transactions was first experienced three years ago during the 2017-2018 crypto market bubble.
Number of transactions on the Ethereum network the past three years.
Token swapping and stablecoins are a big part of this, as 35% of the network’s transactions are on Uniswap (18.93%) and involve tether (16.42%) on Monday, according to Eth Gas Stationhttps://ethgasstation.info/gasguzzlers.php.
“I think this is proof of the continued traction that Ethereum has been seeing as a platform during the second half of 2020,” noted Ben Chan, vice president of engineering for oracle provider ChainLink.
Uniswap’s transaction dominance in particular is a bullish sign on decentralized finance, or DeFi, according to Chan. “Unlike tether, which can move to other chains, DeFi is more sticky because assets and components of the ecosystem in themselves perpetuate a network effect.”
Other markets
Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are all green Monday. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
Crypto majors soften while Asian equities rebound modestly, with traders continuing to weigh quantum fears, ETF flows and a possible shift in bitcoin’s broader trend.
What to know:
Bitcoin look weak after failing to keep gains above $70,000.
Weakness in large caps could soon filter through to small caps, which have been resilient lately.
On-chain data suggest the market is in a stress phase without a clear capitulation bottom.
Debates rage over impact of quantum-computing risks, a controversial BIP-110 spam-reduction proposal and shifting institutional flows.