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Ether Eyes $3.4K as XRP's Price Flashes Cautionary Sign
ETH eyes $3,400 after triangle breakout as major coins look north.
Updated Jul 16, 2025, 11:14 a.m. Published Jul 16, 2025, 10:52 a.m.
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What to know:
- BTC ends corrective trend.
- ETH eyes $3,400 after triangle breakout.
- SOL's stability near key average flashes bull signal.
- The XRP bears look to reassert themselves.
This is a daily analysis of top tokens with CME futures by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.
Bitcoin: Re-test of record highs likely
Bitcoin's hourly chart shows that prices have risen out of the descending channel, forming a higher low at around $117,000 early today. Additionally, prices have crossed above the Guppy multiple moving average indicator. Guppy's short-term EMA (white) band is about to shift above the long-term (red) band, suggesting renewed upside momentum.
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The stage looks set for a rally to record highs, with accelerated gains likely once we move above the Ichimoku cloud. In case, prices fall below $117,000, there is a possibility of an extended pullback, possibly to $111,965, the breakout point identified by the May high.
The bullish case looks stronger with cumulative open interest in USD- and USDT-denominated perpetuals on offshore exchanges, including Binance, OKX, Deribit, Bybit, and Hyperliquid, rising to its highest level in nearly two years alongside positive funding rates. The combination suggests growing interest in bullish leveraged bets.
- AI's take: Bitcoin is showing strong signs of resuming its rally, with momentum indicators flipping bullish and hinting at new record highs soon. Bulls, just be sure to hold that $117,000 support; a break there could trigger a deeper correction.
- Resistance: $120,000, $123,181.
- Support: $117,000, $113,688 (the 38.2% Fib retracement of the rally from June 22 lows), $111,965.
Ether: Eyes $3,400
Ether's breakout from the expanding triangle consolidation and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December-April sell-off has likely set the stage for $3,400, a level favored by options traders on Derive.
The 14-day RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating strong upside momentum alongside upward-sloping 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMA). The ether-bitcoin ratio has also broken out of a prolonged consolidation, suggesting ether outperformance ahead. On the downside, Tuesday's low of $2,933 is the level to beat for bears.
- AI's take: Ether is looking incredibly strong for a move to $3,400, fueled by multiple technical breakouts and its clear outperformance against Bitcoin. Keep a sharp eye on $2,933.
- Resistance: $3,400, $3,570, $4,000.
- Support: $2,933, $2,739, $2,600.
Solana: Stability near 200-day SMA is encouraging for bulls
Solana's SOL continues to trade back and forth near the 200-day simple moving average. The stability contrasts with swift bearish reversals from the key average observed in May and is a positive sign for the bulls.
This, coupled with the move above the Ichimoku cloud and the RSI above 50, suggests that the recent newfound resistance at $168 could soon be flipped into support. The next hurdle is seen at $200. Tuesday's low of $157.13 is a key level of support.
- AI's take: Solana is looking increasingly bullish, holding key support at its 200-day SMA, a big shift from past reversals.
- Resistance: $168, $187, $200.
- Support: $157, $145, $125.
XRP: Looks north after Tuesday's 'Hanging Man' candle
XRP's hourly chart shows a picture-perfect transition from a pullback to renewed upswing. Prices exited the downward trending channel on Tuesday and have since crossed bullishly above the Ichimoku cloud.
The setup favors a re-test of the recent highs above $3.00. That said, Tuesday's hanging man candle, characterized by its long lower wick and small red body, suggests bears are looking to reassert themselves. Should prices lose support at $2.80, it could prove costly.
- AI's take: For traders, the daily chart's "hanging man" is the more significant signal, as longer timeframes generally provide more reliable reversal patterns. While the hourly chart shows a bullish bounce, the daily hanging man acts as a strong cautionary flag.
- Resistance: $3.00, $3.40.
- Support: $2.80, $2.6-$2.65, $2.38.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.
AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.
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