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Fed Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points, Bitcoin Price at Record as Powell Says Trump Win Has 'No Effect' on Policy
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later today could shake up markets as he will face questions about the central bank's outlook on monetary policy and inflation after Donald Trump's decisive win in the U.S. presidential election.
Updated Nov 8, 2024, 1:53 p.m. Published Nov 7, 2024, 7:09 p.m.
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As widely expected by market participants, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark fed funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%-4.75% on Thursday, following the footsteps of other central banks to loosen monetary policy.
"Since earlier in the year, labor market conditions have generally eased, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low," the press release said. "Inflation has made progress toward the Committee's 2% objective but remains somewhat elevated."
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The Bank of England also cut rates by 25 bps earlier today, while Sweden's Riksbank eased key interest rates by half percentage points.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who spoke for the first time since Donald Trump's decisive win of the U.S. elections, said that the election results have "no effect" on the Fed's policymaking in the near-term, quelling fears of a hawkish surprise.
Some observers considered the possibility that the new president-elect's proposed policies such as tax cuts, tariffs and deregulation to stimulate economic growth could reignite inflationary pressures, prompting the Fed to take a more cautionary approach.
Powell said that monetary policy is still restrictive even with today's easing, but downside risks to economic growth has diminished since the Fed's September 50 bps cut. To reporter questions, he also said he would not resign if Trump asked him to leave and firing or demoting him is "not permitted under the law."
Following Powell's remarks, the price of bitcoin hit $76,951, a fresh record high before slightly retreating, still up 1.6% over the past 24 hours. The broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index outperformed gaining 4.5% during the same period. U.S. stock indexes also hit session highs, with the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq up 0.8% and 1.5% through the day, respectively.
Expectations for the Fed to pause rates at their upcoming December meeting decreased to 28% from 33% before the meeting, the CME FedWatch Tool showed.
UPDATE (Nov. 7, 21:16 UTC): Adds remarks from Fed Chair Powell's press conference. Updates prices.
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‘Bitcoin to zero’ searches spike in the U.S., but the bottom signal is mixed
Google Trends data shows the term hit a record high in the U.S. this month, though global interest has fallen since peaking in August.
Ano ang dapat malaman:
- U.S. searches for “bitcoin zero” on Google hit a record high in February as BTC slid toward $60,000 after hitting a peak in October.
- In the rest of the world, searches for the term peaked in August, suggesting fear is concentrated in the U.S. rather than worldwide.
- Similar U.S. search spikes in 2021 and 2022 coincided with local bottoms.
- Because Google Trends measures relative interest on a 0-to-100 scale amid a much larger bitcoin user base today, the latest U.S. spike signals elevated retail anxiety, but does not reliably guarantee a clean contrarian reversal.
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