First Mover Americas: dYdX Beats Uniswap, Bitcoin Outlook Dour
The latest price moves in crypto markets in context for Jan. 18, 2024.

This article originally appeared in First Mover, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter, putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day.
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Headwinds for bitcoin
Decentralized exchange dYdX, which recently migrated from Ethereum to Cosmos, has replaced one of Uniswap's markets as the largest DEX by daily trading volume, according to data from CoinMarketCap. The Cosmos-based v4 version of dYdX just saw $757 million of volume over a 24-hour period, topping Uniswap v3, which had $608 million, the data shows. dYdX's v3 market, which still operates, had $567 million, enough for third place. According to dYdX, the total trade volume so far for its v4 market since launch is $17.8 billion. In 2023, dYdX's v3 saw a total of over $1 trillion in trading volume, with several days exceeding $2 billion of trading volume.
Former President and front-runner in the Republican leadership race, Donald Trump, has promised to ban the creation of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) during a campaign stop in New Hampshire. "As your president, I will never allow the creation of a central bank digital currency,” Trump said on stage, joined by crypto-friendly former candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, who recently suspended his campaign. “This would be a dangerous threat to freedom, and I will stop it from coming to America,” Trump continued. “Such a currency would give a federal government absolute control over your money. They could take your money, and you wouldn’t even know it was gone.”
Chart of The Day

- The chart shows the S&P 500 in inflation-adjusted terms, the spread between U.S. 10 and two-year Treasury bond yields, and the Fed funds rate (the benchmark borrowing cost) since 1999.
- Fed's pivot to rate cuts or renewed liquidity easing typically comes from the point of economic weakness, coinciding with a bearish trend reversal and a sell-off in the S&P 500, as observed in 2000, 2008, and late 2019.
- The market expects the Fed to cut rates by over 100 basis points this year.
- Source: ByteTree Research, Bloomberg
- Omkar Godbole
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Crypto Markets Today: Bitcoin Slips Back Toward Danger Zone Ahead of Fed Decision

Bitcoin surrendered gains from earlier in the week, fell back toward $90,000 as traders braced for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve rate decision.
What to know:
- A 25 basis-point interest-rate cut has been priced in for weeks, and risk assets could drop on the news if no fresh catalysts emerge.
- Tokens like HYPE, STRK, QNT and KAS fell 6%–9% in 24 hours
- CoinMarketCap’s altcoin-season index sits at a cycle low of 18/100.
- Bitcoin is down 20% over 90 days and more than half of the top-100 tokens have fallen at least 40%. FET and TIA are among the worst performers while ZEC, DASH, BNB and BCH stand out as rare stabilizers.










