{"id":47104,"date":"2025-09-16T17:39:20","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T22:39:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/?p=47104"},"modified":"2025-09-25T14:13:02","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T19:13:02","slug":"bitcoin-price-hits-117000-naka-mstr-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/markets\/bitcoin-price-hits-117000-naka-mstr-fall","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Hits $117,000 as Treasury Stocks Like MSTR, NAKA Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div>\n<p>The hangover from the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/markets\/the-end-of-paper-bitcoin-summer\">paper bitcoin summer<\/a> delusion has arrived, swiftly and painfully. We see it, not in the bitcoin price, which is once more calmly and unremarkably ticking upward \u2014 pushing up against <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BitcoinMagazine\/status\/1968074321643049012\">$117,000<\/a> Tuesday evening \u2014 but in the stock prices of bitcoin treasury companies. They\u2019re all getting <em>slaughtered<\/em>: Look at the graphs of $MSTR, Metaplanet, $NAKA, H100, Smarter Web Company and they all look the same \u2014 shitcoin-style pump into the heavens, followed by a drawn-out decline back to where they started (or well below it).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a while there, we \u2014 and the rest of Wall Street \u2014 thought anyone could arbitrage financial markets. <em>Issue shares at above their intrinsic value; buy bitcoin; repeat.<\/em> For this vertiginous summer fling, Wall Street was paying more than a dollar for a dollar\u2019s worth of bitcoin, and everyone\u2019s eyes lit up with dollar signs; this is a trade that, if you\u2019re able to, you\u2019ll happily do all day long.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But now that that\u2019s over, there\u2019ll be hell to pay \u2014 and the devil is already out kicking ass and taking names.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, and it\u2019s not nice to kick a guy who\u2019s already down (and certainly not when that guy is in some sense your boss\u2026) but given that $NAKA fell a whopping 50% the other day after the <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/encourage-exit-bitcoin-treasury-nakamotos-200147632.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S3 PIPE shares restriction period ended<\/a> \u2014 having already collapsed some 87% from its May pump-and-dump peak \u2014 it\u2019d be remiss of us <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/markets\/bitcoin-price-falls-nobody-knows-why\">price therapists<\/a> <em>not<\/em> to take a second look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, with the outstanding, tradeable float of shares increased overnight some 50x \u2014 and, one would suppose, plenty of second-layer PIPE \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DavidFBailey\/status\/1967916366343610757?t=uaoIqURHwNLB4T_pic7Trg&amp;s=19\">insiders<\/a>\u201d wanna dump-dump-duuuuump \u2014 the formula was pretty simple: lots of extra supply meet no demand equals <em>collapsing<\/em> price. In bitcoin treasury company analyst Adam Livingston\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Fx38IQZwXH0?si=cqKuZYijOlOEijs5&amp;t=55\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">words<\/a>: \u201cAnd you get a perfect physics lesson here: add mass, you lose altitude.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">5. \u201cTreasury mania is over!\u201d Says the critics who have been fading the treasury strategy since we invested in Metaplanet 18 months ago at $15m market cap. The treasury play is just getting started and your lack of vision is why you missed it the first time and will miss it the\u2026<\/p>&mdash; David Bailey\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf7 $1.0mm\/btc is the floor (@DavidFBailey) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavidFBailey\/status\/1967916368692420880?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">September 16, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As usual, bitcoin didn\u2019t care: It <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/bitcoin-price\">jumped almost 2% today<\/a>, on no material news, after a brief fling downward off its current $116,000 stablecoin pattern. As Bitcoin Magazine Pro\u2019s Matt Crosby says in a recent video, bitcoin price is \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/markets\/bitcoin-price-volatility-historic-lows\">poised for breakout<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The same cannot be said for the poor treasury companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even best-in-class Saylor\u2019s Strategy ($MSTR) is struggling \u2014 as it has since operation offload-on-retail began last year; Strategy is gobbling up <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/markets\/bitcoin-price-slides-below-115000-as-strategy-buys-additional-bitcoin\">coins by the hundreds<\/a>, yet the mNAV compresses more and more, hitting an (unadjusted) <a href=\"https:\/\/saylortracker.com\/?tab=home\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yearly low of 1.27<\/a>. We\u2019re quickly getting to the point where the stock premium (i.e., the source of all <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/bigread\/the-bitcoin-treasury-companies-bubble\">treasury company magic<\/a>) is gone, and the treasury companies become expensive, glorified ETFs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">If you&#39;re a bank, shouldn&#39;t you trade like a bank? (i.e., at around 1 book value) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4Ffnc73LGt\">https:\/\/t.co\/4Ffnc73LGt<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Joakim Book (@joakimbook) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joakimbook\/status\/1967036527969731067?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">September 14, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAlways have been,\u201d the meme world might retort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back to our beloved frog, Nakamoto. <em>Baaaaaad <\/em>things happened to it recently. This is a nasty chart:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"925\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-1024x925.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47106\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-1024x925.png 1024w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-300x271.png 300w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-768x694.png 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-465x420.png 465w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-696x629.png 696w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48-1068x965.png 1068w, https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-48.png 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Printing infinite number of copiable paper against a non-credible bitcoin strategy could never have ended any other way. Congrats, NAKA leadership; you wasted six months (or more) of prime bull market real estate playing high finance, and now you&#8217;re punished for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The delusion that was bitcoin treasury strategy has ended, and the NAKA strategy \u2014 running the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/nakamoto-seeding-bitcoin-treasury-companies\">mNAV-squared treasury strategy<\/a> \u2014 has squarely suffered because of it. (Though, as of this writing, $NAKA is up <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/NAKA\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">20% on the day<\/a> from its <em>extreme<\/em> crazy low\u2026 yah-yah, nobody cares.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING NEWS \ud83d\udea8: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24NAKA&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$NAKA<\/a> will be changing their ticker to <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24NADA&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$NADA<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/H5vfi2TKLT\">pic.twitter.com\/H5vfi2TKLT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Magoo PhD (@HodlMagoo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HodlMagoo\/status\/1967767871662284841?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">September 16, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Fx38IQZwXH0?si=5KS3rQxL-XcJ91Nc&amp;t=283\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Livingston<\/a> is, again, making beautiful sense of the madness:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe September 15 crash was not a mysterious market mood swing. It was the predictable result of half a billion discounting shares stampeding through an order book designed for a few million: supply floods, the price sinks, and the physics lesson is complete.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>The everlasting upward magic of (money-share printing) bitcoin treasury companies is gone. Good riddance. Now these companies have to prove real value-add with the corporate-wrapped coins they hold on to so dearly\u2026 or perhaps we can go back to <em>de<\/em>-financializing the economy \u2014 you know, that annoying, original reason for Bitcoin.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>BTC Inc, Bitcoin Magazine\u2019s parent company, is affiliated with Nakamoto ($NAKA) through common ownership. BTC Inc also has a contractual relationship with Nakamoto to provide marketing services.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price is nearing $117,000 \u2014 but treasury stocks like MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) and KindlyMD (NASDAQ: NAKA) are collapsing as dilution floods the market. The \u201cpaper bitcoin\u201d era is officially over.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2620,"featured_media":47110,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[6087,76,132,6086,59],"class_list":{"0":"post-47104","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-bailey","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-bitcoin-price","11":"tag-naka","12":"tag-opinion"},"author_data":{"id":2620,"name":"Joakim Book","nicename":"joakim-book","avatar_url":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Joakim_Book_Author_Image.jpg"},"featured_image_url":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/bitcoin-price-cartoon-suitcoiner-waving-hands.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2620"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47104\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}