{"id":21194,"date":"2018-10-15T19:06:32","date_gmt":"2018-10-15T19:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ci027cfe70400d2697"},"modified":"2018-10-15T19:06:32","modified_gmt":"2018-10-15T19:06:32","slug":"tethers-peg-slips-bitcoin-price-distorted-across-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/business\/tethers-peg-slips-bitcoin-price-distorted-across-market","title":{"rendered":"As Tether\u2019s Peg Slips, Bitcoin Price Is Distorted Across Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div><figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/as-tethers-peg-slips.jpg\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n<p>Tether\u2019s peg is slipping, and an exchange-wide firesale has led to major price discrepancies between bitcoin\u2019s BTC\/USDT and BTC\/USD trading pairs across the market.<\/p>\n<p>In the early hours of October 15, 2018, Tether\u2019s USDT was <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/tether\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trading at $0.92<\/a>, the lowest asking price the coin has seen in 18 months. At the time of writing, the stablecoin still hasn\u2019t made up enough ground to retain its $1 peg. On <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/tether\/#markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">most markets<\/a>, it\u2019s currently trading around $0.96, though this figure is tied to bitcoin trading pairs. Against the USD on <a href=\"https:\/\/trade.kraken.com\/markets\/kraken\/usdt\/usd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kraken<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/bittrex.com\/Market\/Index?MarketName=USD-USDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bittrex<\/a>, it is trading at $0.92 and $0.90, respectively. <\/p>\n<p>A combination of exchange activity, related FUD and scuttlebutt could be the catalysts behind the sell-off. Bitfinex suspended fiat deposits on October 15, 2018, \u201cfor certain customer accounts in the face of processing complications,\u201d a blog post <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/bitfinex\/fiat-deposit-update-october-15th-2018-18ddd276c3fd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reveals<\/a>. In addition, Binance temporarily suspended USDT withdrawals for \u201cwallet maintenance\u201d due to \u201cnetwork congestion,\u201d a measure taken after the exchange extinguished rumors that said it would soon delist tether.<\/p>\n<p>The discount has bitcoin trading at something of a premium against tether on exchanges with USDT\/BTC trading pairs. On Binance, Huobi and Bittrex, for example, 1 BTC is trading for nearly 6,700 USDT.<\/p>\n<p>Contrast this with bitcoin\u2019s price in USD\/BTC markets and it becomes clear that tether\u2019s sell-off is distorting prices across exchanges. On Coinbase Pro, Kraken and Gemini, bitcoin is trading at roughly $6,400 against USD pairs, an indication that bitcoin\u2019s proper asking price is much lower than its oft-cited USDT pair would advertise. This has led to an inflated price averaged on CoinMarketCap of $6,650. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s important to note that the \u201cpremium\u201d bitcoin is going for on tether-listed exchanges is less of a premium and more of a price distortion, given that tether is trading below its peg. The price of bitcoin for these pairs has spiked as a result of the sell-off, but if you sold USDT for BTC and then attempted to resell this BTC for USD, the arbitrage opportunity would be nullified by the price differential between BTC\/USDT and BTC\/USD pairs.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, Bitfinex\u2019s USD\/BTC pair is out of line with other exchanges that offer fiat pairs for bitcoin. On Bitfinex, 1 BTC is trading at $6,900, a figure the even superseded its price against USDT on other popular exchanges. An inauspicious discrepancy in its own right, Bitfinex\u2019s data may rouse additional skepticism when we take a look at its USDT\/USD pair. At the time of writing, 1 USDT is trading at exactly $1.00 against its pegged asset in actual U.S. dollars, while, as we noted earlier, the same trading pair on Kraken and Bittrex is going for $0.92 and $0.90, respectively. Seeing as Tether and Bitfinex are <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/warning-signs-timeline-tether-and-bitfinex-events\">under like management<\/a>, the stark departure in price for USDT\/USD markets between Bitfinex and other top exchanges could be cause for further concern.<\/p>\n<p>This jumble of numbers and price differentials leaves more questions asked than answers, aggravating the uncertainty that likely led to the sell-off in the first. The price gap between bitcoin\u2019s USD and USDT pairs puts tether\u2019s risk premium at just under $500 (7.62 percent), according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.untether.space\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Untether.space<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>As the discrepancy in prices across exchanges illustrates, this risk premium denotes the difference between how much bitcoin is trading for in BTC\/USDT versus BTC\/USD pairs. Ultimately, the figure could indicate that market confidence in Tether is waning, as looming uncertainty over whether Tether <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/unofficial-report-confirms-tethers-tokens-are-fully-backed-us-dollars\">has enough funds<\/a> in the bank, amidst other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-10-02\/puerto-rico-s-cryptocurrency-bank-noble-is-said-to-seek-sale\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">banking troubles<\/a>, has shaken investor trust in the market\u2019s number one stablecoin, which accounts for 98 percent of all stablecoin trading volume.<\/p>\n<p>Tether\u2019s troubles comes after <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/search-stability-overview-budding-stablecoin-ecosystem\">a slew of new stablecoins<\/a> have proliferated in the market. Its two largest competitors, <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/a16z-puts-16-million-behind-stablecoin-platform-makerdao\">MakerDAO\u2019s DAI<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/yes-stablecoins-can-secure-official-audits-major-firms\">TrustToken\u2019s TUSD<\/a>, launched earlier this year, while regulation grade coins like <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/gemini-and-paxos-both-launch-stablecoins-ethereum-blockchain\">Gemini\u2019s GUSD, Paxos\u2019 PAX<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/circles-usdc-stablecoin-begins-trading\">Circle\u2019s USDC<\/a> launched last month as well. In addition to these, the industry\u2019s first algorithmic stablecoin, <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/articles\/newly-launched-stablecoin-youve-never-heard-coming-ledger\">Kowala\u2019s kUSD<\/a>, is now in its mainnet\u2019s alpha version, though the coin has yet to begin trading on the open market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tether\u2019s peg is slipping, and an exchange-wide firesale has led to major price discrepancies between bitcoin\u2019s BTC\/USDT and BTC\/USD trading pairs across the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3468,"featured_media":21195,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[1961,804,811,468],"class_list":{"0":"post-21194","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-bitfinex","9":"tag-stablecoins","10":"tag-tether","11":"tag-trading"},"author_data":{"id":3468,"name":"Aaron Van Wirdum And Colin Harper","nicename":"aaron-van-wirdum-and-colin-harper","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/88b6c65a7515990786b1c04473e15469e5b0d0fffef947ed629a60854e1cb426?s=96&d=robohash&r=g"},"featured_image_url":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/as-tethers-peg-slips.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3468"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21194\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21195"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}