{"id":632231,"date":"2026-09-12T19:00:04","date_gmt":"2026-09-12T23:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=632231"},"modified":"2026-09-12T07:17:12","modified_gmt":"2026-09-12T11:17:12","slug":"13-6k-btc-flush-resets-leverage-but-bitcoins-rally-to-82k-has-this-hurdle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/13-6k-btc-flush-resets-leverage-but-bitcoins-rally-to-82k-has-this-hurdle\/","title":{"rendered":"13.6K BTC flush resets leverage \u2013 But Bitcoin\u2019s rally to $82k has THIS hurdle"},"content":{"rendered":"

The probability that the Federal target rate could be bumped up by 25 bps to 375-400 bps was increasing by the day. The FedWatch tool showed a probability of a rate hike at 87.3%.<\/p>\n

This meant that the chances of a bearish Bitcoin [BTC] price reaction are also higher. In a CryptoQuant analysis, XWIN Japan pointed out that BTC was between persistent, long-term buyers and short-term caution.<\/p>\n

The short-term trends could flip bearishly for Bitcoin once again, especially if the caution is given reason to blossom into panic.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin retraces into key demand zone at $76k<\/h2>\n

Friday’s U.S. CPI report introduced high short-term volatility and $685.5 million in liquidations across the crypto market for the day. The past four trading days have seen outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Binance BTC reserves were at a 2-year high, and the Coinbase Premium Index has slipped into negative territory again. For a brief while towards the end of August, and again at the start of September, an uptick in U.S.-based investor demand seemed to signal market confidence.<\/p>\n

Despite the doubt introduced among long-term holders<\/a>, Bitcoin<\/a> was steadily climbing towards the key $82k resistance, and this signal gave bulls some hope.<\/p>\n

Increasing odds<\/a> of a rate hike, with the CPI report being the latest to tip the scales further, have hurt the short-term bullish BTC momentum.<\/p>\n

The bright side for crypto swing traders<\/h2>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: Axel Adler Jr. on X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In a post on X, crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that the Bitcoin Open Interest had declined by 13.6k BTC in a day. During this time, Bitcoin rallied from $77k to $79.9k before retracing most of those gains within a span of a few hours.<\/p>\n

This liquidity flush and the OI decline have made a liquidation cascade less likely by wiping out over-leveraged traders around the current market price.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

One sign of a market regime shift would be positive Coinbase Premium Index values to signal increased investor interest. Another factor would be the exchange net position change turning negative, to signal accumulation.<\/p>\n

Negative values in the second half of August accompanied the rally towards $82k. Sustained withdrawals from exchanges could accompany the next bullish leg higher as sell pressure decreases.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Bitcoin was yet to climb above the key long-term resistance zone around $82k, and was at risk of losing the short-term bullish momentum, too.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • Among other factors, a turnaround in the Coinbase Premium Index, the exchange net position change, and spot ETF net flows could signal short-term demand and upcoming price gains.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Bitcoin was yet to climb above the key long-term resistance zone around $82k, and was at risk of losing the short-term bullish momentum, too<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":632252,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,66,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-632231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n13.6K BTC flush resets leverage \u2013 But Bitcoin\u2019s rally to $82k has THIS hurdle - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin has not climbed above the key long-term resistance zone around $82k. 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