{"id":629710,"date":"2026-09-01T16:00:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T20:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=629710"},"modified":"2026-09-01T07:05:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T11:05:03","slug":"will-crypto-fomo-return-fundstrats-tom-lee-sees-a-surprise-upside","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/will-crypto-fomo-return-fundstrats-tom-lee-sees-a-surprise-upside\/","title":{"rendered":"Will crypto FOMO return? Fundstrat\u2019s Tom Lee sees a \u2018surprise upside\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fundstrat\u2019s CIO Tom Lee believes that the market could see a ‘surprise upside’\u00a0despite the growing Fed rate hike fears. In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee noted,\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

September is always a weak month. Because of mounting concerns, the market might surprise us to the upside. The September 15th Fed meeting is the pivot point.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

He added that if the Fed does not cut or hike (hold interest rate pause at current 3.50%-3.75%), the markets could rally \u201cvery strongly.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

In particular, he <\/span>billed<\/span><\/a> crypto as the best candidate to wildly explode if the bullish outlook holds.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

We think the asset with the most FOMO in Sept and into year-end will be crypto, particularly <\/span>$ETH.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The macro, especially Fed rate hike fears, punctured the late August crypto market rally after Chair Kevin Warsh echoed a hawkish stance last week. For him, inflation remained sticky, and the underlying market conditions were not favoring a loose monetary policy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The hawkish tone stalled Bitcoin\u2019s rally and kept its price struggling below $80K over the weekend and into <\/span>September<\/span><\/a>. Still, two macro updates could confirm or invalidate Lee\u2019s outlook.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Will macro data back Lee’s bullish crypto outlook?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Before the Fed rate decision on the 15th of September, there are two scheduled <\/span>labor reports<\/span><\/a>. <\/span><\/p>\n

On the 1st of September, the JOLTS Jobs Openings report will be out. Then on the 4th of September, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) will also be released, and traders will use it to gauge the next Fed rate move.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In most cases, strong labor markets will force the Fed to pause the interest rate. On the contrary, a weak labor market would reinforce the need for a rate hike.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Right before the Fed rate decision, key inflation data (U.S. CPI, Consumer Price Index) will also be released on September 11th. Unless data points to a strong labor market and easing inflation, the chance of a rate hike is likely.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

And that’s what interested traders are betting on, as of the time of writing. There was a 69% chance of a rate hike.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Tom<\/a>
Source: CME FedWatch Tool\u00a0<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This directly dents risk sentiment and the rising market caution despite the recent rally.\u00a0<\/span>It remains to be seen whether the upcoming macro data will ‘surprise’ and favor crypto bulls as Lee projects.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Separately, Glassnode also flagged cautious optimism and <\/span>noted<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

BTC holds near $78,300 after rallying from $64k lows. Institutional inflows stay strong, but rising leverage, tight volatility spreads, and softening retail activity point to a cautious, transitional market.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Still, the 50-week MA (currently at $81K) remains the last stand for <\/span>BTC<\/span><\/a> bears; decisively reclaiming it would make the next leg of the uptrend possible.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Tom<\/a>
Source: BTC\/USDT, TradingView\u00a0<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\n

Final Summary<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Lee expects the Fed rate decision to be pivotal for the crypto market, with potential \u2018upside surprise\u2019<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • BTC\u2019s rising leverage could risk the momentum, according to Glassnode<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
    \n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Glassnode warned that rising leverage could risk Bitcoin’s uptrend momentum<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":629752,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[66,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-629710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWill crypto FOMO return? 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