{"id":628798,"date":"2026-08-28T14:00:36","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T18:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=628798"},"modified":"2026-08-28T06:37:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T10:37:45","slug":"bitcoin-to-dump-while-ethereum-pumps-a-look-at-options-data-reveals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-to-dump-while-ethereum-pumps-a-look-at-options-data-reveals\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin to dump while Ethereum pumps? A look at Options data reveals…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Both Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] led the crypto recovery that started last week. However, their returns fell this week. At the time of writing, BTC’s price was trading above $79,000 while ETH’s was valued at around $2,500.<\/p>\n

Now, while the broader outlook may be bullish, it is interesting to note that institutions are betting on a BTC dump and ETH pump simultaneously. Hence, the question: Is this bet a signal that altcoins could outperform Bitcoin, particularly Ethereum?<\/p>\n

A look into expiring Bitcoin options\u2014bulls in full control!<\/h2>\n

According to Deribit, more than 81,700 BTC worth $6.40 billion in Bitcoin<\/a> Options expire on Friday, 28th August, at 4.00 AM ET. These include $236 million in Call Options at $75K, $157 million in calls at $80K, and a max pain level of $68K.<\/p>\n

Much of this position, accounting for more than $2.70 billion in all Call Options, was placed before BTC’s move. This data indicated that bulls were in full control of BTC’s price while bears were completely under water.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: Deribit<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Still, the Term Structure also suggested calm near-term conditions but more uncertainty or big events further in the future. The explanation being that at press time, this metric was rising for BTC with a reading of 42.66.<\/p>\n

Institutions bet on BTC dumping and ETH pumping<\/h2>\n

Open Interest by Strike Price at the end of September revealed that institutions may be betting on a BTC dump and an ETH pump simultaneously.<\/p>\n

The highest concentration of BTC Options was at $70K. The notional value for calls at this level was $874 million with a Put\/Call ratio of 0.52, reinforcing this bearishness.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: Deribit<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

For context, institutions like Metaplanet have been offloading their holdings. According to Lookonchain<\/a>, the Bitcoin miner deposited 1,350 BTC worth $108 million into Coinbase Prime, potentially to sell.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, the concentration of ETH Options indicated that most institutions were betting the altcoin would be above $3,000 by the end of September. The notional value for the 39,999 calls was $99 million with the max pain at $2,100.<\/p>\n

For instance, Bitmine’s ETH position<\/a> is now close to $14.4 billion. Such a scenario could trigger altcoins’ outperformance of Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

\"EthereumETH\"<\/a>
Source: Deribit<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Put simply, based on the Options data, it seemed pretty evident that there may be a disparity in institutional projections for BTC and ETH. So, will their prices comply?<\/p>\n

What to expect by the end of September?<\/h2>\n

At the time of writing, both cryptos were trading within constricted Bollinger Bands. This suggested that the uptrend had cooled off.<\/p>\n

A break above the aforementioned key levels would extend their rallies while failure at the zone would trigger a correction.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Bitcoin Options worth more than $6.50 billion will expire soon.\u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n
  • Near-term outlook suggested that institutions have contrarian bets on both Bitcoin and Ethereum.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Bitcoin and Ethereum are market leaders. Are they on the same wavelength though?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":628809,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,32,66,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-628798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-ethereum-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin to dump while Ethereum pumps? A look at Options data reveals... - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin and Ethereum had a very productive August. Will September be the same? 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