{"id":627266,"date":"2026-08-22T14:00:48","date_gmt":"2026-08-22T18:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=627266"},"modified":"2026-08-22T04:38:15","modified_gmt":"2026-08-22T08:38:15","slug":"heres-what-bitcoins-sp-500-catchup-means-for-btcs-90k-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/heres-what-bitcoins-sp-500-catchup-means-for-btcs-90k-target\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s what Bitcoin\u2019s S&#038;P 500 catchup means for BTC&#8217;s $90K target"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin has suddenly regained the relative ground it had lost to the S&amp;P 500 over the previous three months. In other words, Bitcoin had been performing worse than U.S. large-cap stocks during that period. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, its sharp rally over the past 72 hours was strong enough to close that entire performance gap. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to Glassnode\u2019s session rewind chart, over the past three months, the BTC-to-S&amp;P 500 relative-performance ratio has declined from around 3x to nearly 2.2x. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, Bitcoin&#8217;s sharp rally over the latest four trading sessions pushed that ratio back up to approximately 2.82x. Though the S&amp;P 500 is still up around 20% from the chart&#8217;s September 2025 starting point, Bitcoin has clearly shown its ability to recover lost ground quickly.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_627276\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-627276\" style=\"width: 2292px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-627276 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind.png\" alt=\"Four sessions rewind\" width=\"2292\" height=\"1268\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind.png 2292w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-300x166.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-1024x567.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-768x425.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-1536x850.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-2048x1133.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-160x90.png 160w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Four-sessions-rewind-1200x664.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2292px) 100vw, 2292px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-627276\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What pushed Bitcoin to close this gap in a few days?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This comes on the heels of BTC\u2019s price action rallying from $62K to around $78K in a few days. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Besides the price action, other factors like the <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> ETF market, which recorded $1.92 billion in the past week, expectations around U.S. crypto legislation, and Treasury actions that helped calm bond-market stress also helped Bitcoin outweigh S&amp;P 500.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_627278\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-627278\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-scaled.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-627278 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-scaled.png\" alt=\"BTC ETF weekly inflows cross $1 billion\" width=\"2560\" height=\"729\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-scaled.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-300x85.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-1024x292.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-768x219.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-1536x437.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-2048x583.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-ETF-weekly-inflows-cross-1-billion-1200x342.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-627278\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: SoSo Value<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, this does not mean that <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/2090755082476483024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin&#8217;s underperformance<\/a> is permanently over or that a new bull market is guaranteed. This is because as a result of the rally, the RSI index has now entered the overbought territory. As the pattern has been, every race to the overbought or oversold territory has called for a pullback, and so it might happen again.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_627279\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-627279\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-scaled.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-627279 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-scaled.png\" alt=\"BTC RSI in overbought zone\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-scaled.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-300x181.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-1024x618.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-768x464.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-1536x927.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-2048x1236.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-RSI-in-overbought-zone-1200x724.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-627279\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where is Bitcoin heading?\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet despite the uncertainty, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/2090816856626000189\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Kobeissi Letter has predicted<\/a> that the probability of Bitcoin finishing 2026 above $90,000 has reportedly jumped from 12% to 48% in just three days. The timing here is interesting, as this shift happened alongside <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/why-is-crypto-going-up-today-3-5b-liquidation-treasury-buybacks-more\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$3.5 billion in leveraged cryptocurrency positions getting liquidated<\/a> between the 20th and 21st of August.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_627277\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-627277\" style=\"width: 2070px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-627277 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally.png\" alt=\"BTC price rally\" width=\"2070\" height=\"1528\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally.png 2070w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-300x221.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-1024x756.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-768x567.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-1536x1134.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-2048x1512.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BTC-price-rally-1200x886.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2070px) 100vw, 2070px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-627277\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: The Kobeissi Letter<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This was further supported by <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/decoding-bitcoins-supply-gap-can-btc-bulls-reach-84569\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AMBCrypto\u2019s recent analysis<\/a> that Bitcoin\u2019s recent rebound has strengthened its bullish structure, with strong support between $61,849 and $63,111 and limited overhead supply above $75,733. Ergo, a break above this level could open the path toward <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">83,307\u2013<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">84,569, where another major supply cluster sits.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Final Summary <\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin&#8217;s price surge above $75K has helped it close the three-month performance gap with the S&amp;P 500. <\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This bullish rally has many anticipating BTC&#8217;s next move to above $90,000 by the end of 2026.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How did Bitcoin erase 3 months of underperformance against the S&#038;P 500 in just four trading sessions?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":627280,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,66,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-627266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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