{"id":622889,"date":"2026-08-06T11:57:15","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T15:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=622889"},"modified":"2026-08-06T11:57:15","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T15:57:15","slug":"hodlers-accumulate-but-weak-new-demand-keeps-bitcoin-trapped-below-66k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/hodlers-accumulate-but-weak-new-demand-keeps-bitcoin-trapped-below-66k\/","title":{"rendered":"HODLers accumulate, but weak new demand keeps Bitcoin trapped below $66k"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin [BTC] short-term holder spent output profit ratio [STH SOPR] is at 1. In other words, coins held for under 155 days were, on average, at their cost basis. The taker buy\/sell ratio showed a slight skew towards aggressive sellers, too.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The stablecoin supply ratio measures Bitcoin’s market cap to the aggregate market cap of all stablecoins. This reading was at 11.58<\/strong>, showing stablecoin supply was relatively low and that buying power was still limited.<\/p>\n

With these factors in mind, we can examine the sideways price action of the past two months. Bitcoin<\/a> has oscillated between $60k and $66k<\/strong> since June, for the most part.<\/p>\n

Demand for Bitcoin is not yet able to generate bullish momentum<\/h2>\n

AMBCrypto reported that the daily miner revenue from block rewards has dropped below $30 million<\/a> by mid-July. Contracting revenues have put miners in a tight spot.<\/p>\n

The Bitcoin supply with long-term holders was at record highs. This signaled strong HODLer conviction. Even so, fear lingered in the market.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: Axel Adler Jr.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The apparent demand-to-issuance metric compares the 30-day<\/strong> change in the volume of coins less than a year old with new BTC issuance. Readings above 1 indicate young coins are growing, while a reading below 0 shows this volume is shrinking compared to issuance.<\/p>\n

Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. used this metric to demonstrate that the current price rebound is not accompanied by growth in the volume of young coins.<\/p>\n

The metric was at -5.43<\/strong> and has been negative for five months now. It made a low near -16<\/strong> in July<\/strong>, so it has recovered a little. Overall, despite price hovering around $64k<\/strong>, apparent demand was too weak to confirm price recovery.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: Axel Adler Jr.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The metric above tracks the movement of Bitcoin between cohorts over 30 days old<\/strong>. A positive reading means more coins returned to young supply than moved into the over-one-year category.<\/p>\n

The net age flow has been negative for seven months, and the current flow of -85.5k<\/strong> BTC means 85.5k<\/strong> Bitcoin has moved from young coins into the over-one-year category.<\/p>\n

This pattern indicates accumulation and reduced supply available for sale.<\/p>\n

Taken together, the two metrics point to a market where existing holders continue accumulating, but new buyers have yet to arrive in sufficient numbers.<\/p>\n

That combination helps explain why Bitcoin has remained range-bound despite improving long-term holder conviction.<\/p>\n

If the Bitcoin net age flow turns positive, it would signal a short-term turnaround. A reading of above 1\u00a0 in the demand-to-issuance metric would confirm renewed demand and bullish vigor.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • The Bitcoin market is forming a bottom, but confirmation of a bullish trend shift was not yet at hand.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • A reading of above 1\u00a0 in the demand-to-issuance metric, combined with a positive shift in net age flow, would confirm a bullish regime shift for Bitcoin.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
    \n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    The Bitcoin market is forming a bottom, but confirmation of a bullish trend shift was not yet at hand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":622908,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-622889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHODLers accumulate, but weak new demand keeps Bitcoin trapped below $66k - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bitcoin price momentum was not turning bullish, even though there were signs of accumulation and long-term holder supply at record highs.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/hodlers-accumulate-but-weak-new-demand-keeps-bitcoin-trapped-below-66k\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"HODLers accumulate, but weak new demand keeps Bitcoin trapped below $66k - 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