{"id":621520,"date":"2026-08-02T10:00:32","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T14:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=621520"},"modified":"2026-08-02T06:18:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-02T10:18:03","slug":"can-xrp-stay-above-key-support-after-ripples-1-06b-token-unlock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-xrp-stay-above-key-support-after-ripples-1-06b-token-unlock\/","title":{"rendered":"Can XRP stay above KEY support after Ripple’s $1.06B token unlock?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ripple unlocked one billion XRP worth more than $1.06 billion through three separate releases, placing fresh supply back under market scrutiny. <\/span>The transaction sequence included 500 million XRP valued at $532.86 million, 300 million XRP worth $319.65 million, and another 200 million XRP valued at $213.11 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, token unlocks have not always translated into immediate selling pressure because Ripple historically redistributed portions through escrow management.\u00a0<\/span>Market participants instead shifted their attention toward whether exchanges would receive a meaningful share of the unlocked tokens.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

As a result, traders closely monitored supporting on-chain metrics for confirmation.\u00a0<\/span>Any sustained rise in exchange activity would likely strengthen distribution concerns, whereas limited follow-through could preserve XRP’s current market structure.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: X\/Whale Alert<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Exchange inflows added another layer of concern<\/b><\/h2>\n

Spot exchange flows shifted direction after months of persistent outflows, introducing another variable into XRP’s outlook.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

At press time, netflows reached +$2.41 million, marking one of the few positive readings after an extended period dominated by negative values.\u00a0<\/span>Unlike previous sessions, the latest inflow suggested more XRP entered exchanges than left them, naturally raising the possibility of additional available trading supply.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Even so, the figure remained relatively modest compared to historical inflow spikes exceeding tens of millions of dollars.\u00a0<\/span>Buyers therefore retained an opportunity to absorb incoming liquidity without immediately disrupting market stability.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Market conviction would likely strengthen if future sessions returned to negative netflows, while consecutive positive readings could reinforce expectations of growing exchange-bound supply.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Does the falling NVT ratio favor XRP?<\/b><\/h2>\n

On-chain activity improved despite the renewed exchange inflows.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

XRP’s <\/span>Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio<\/span> declined to 87.8584 as of writing, representing a sharp 62.08% daily drop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lower NVT values generally reflected stronger transaction activity relative to market capitalization, indicating that network usage accelerated faster than valuation.\u00a0<\/span>Such behavior often supported healthier market conditions because capital circulated more efficiently across the blockchain.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nevertheless, stronger network activity alone rarely eliminated concerns surrounding fresh token supply.\u00a0<\/span>Investors instead weighed improving utility against the additional XRP entering circulation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

If transaction activity continues expanding while exchange inflows remain contained, the network’s strengthening fundamentals could offset part of the selling pressure narrative surrounding Ripple’s latest unlock.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

XRP defended support as selling pressure increased<\/b><\/h2>\n

At the time of analysis, <\/span>XRP <\/span><\/a>traded around $1.0656 after repeatedly defending the $1.05 support zone throughout recent sessions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Price rejected lower levels several times, showing buyers continued protecting that area despite persistent overhead resistance near $1.15.\u00a0<\/span>Meanwhile, the MACD reflected weakening bullish conditions. The MACD line slipped to -0.0119, while the signal line stood at -0.0089, and both moved beneath the zero line.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The histogram also remained negative, revealing fading buying interest rather than renewed strength.\u00a0<\/span>Despite softer technical conditions, sellers failed to force a decisive breakdown below support.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

If buyers maintain control above $1.05, XRP could attempt another move toward $1.15. However, losing that floor would likely expose $1.00 as the next major downside target.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"XRP<\/a>
Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

To sum up, Ripple’s billion-token unlock and the return of positive exchange netflows raised legitimate supply concerns, yet stronger network activity softened part of that bearish narrative.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

XRP still defended its key support despite weakening technical indicators.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Buyers would likely need to preserve the $1.05 floor and absorb additional exchange supply before confidence could shift back toward a broader recovery.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/b><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • XRP defended the $1.05 support despite fresh supply entering exchanges after the latest unlock.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
    • Improving network activity offset part of the bearish outlook, but exchange inflows require close monitoring.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

       <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      XRP’s 1 billion token unlock coincided with positive exchange netflows, testing buyer conviction near key support.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":621529,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,55,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-621520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-xrp-ripple-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCan XRP stay above KEY support after Ripple's $1.06B token unlock? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP worth more than $1.06 billion through three separate releases, placing fresh supply back under market scrutiny.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-xrp-stay-above-key-support-after-ripples-1-06b-token-unlock\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can XRP stay above KEY support after Ripple's $1.06B token unlock? 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Is the market ready for another supply shock?"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/","name":"AMBCrypto","description":"Stay Ahead!","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#organization"},"alternateName":"AMBCrypto News","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#organization","name":"AMBCrypto","alternateName":"AMBCrypto News","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/amb-wide.jpg","width":600,"height":60,"caption":"AMBCrypto"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoamb","https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoAmb","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/13629485\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/99575df9eec10fccce9a9ee0f35296ae","name":"Erastus Chami","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1223-scaled-e1725943663510-100x100.jpg","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1223-scaled-e1725943663510-100x100.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1223-scaled-e1725943663510-100x100.jpg","caption":"Erastus Chami"},"description":"Erastus Chami is a DeFi analyst and financial journalist at AMBCrypto with over four years of experience in blockchain and fintech. 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