{"id":621411,"date":"2026-08-02T14:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T18:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=621411"},"modified":"2026-08-02T05:27:48","modified_gmt":"2026-08-02T09:27:48","slug":"solana-has-been-bearish-for-10-months-in-a-row-can-sol-still-make-a-comeback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/solana-has-been-bearish-for-10-months-in-a-row-can-sol-still-make-a-comeback\/","title":{"rendered":"Solana has been bearish for 10 months in a row: Can SOL still make a comeback?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Solana’s 2026 cycle has, so far, been one of its weakest on record.<\/span><\/p>\n

From a technical perspective, SOL closed July down 1.1%, printing its 10th consecutive monthly red candle. That means since the October breakdown, SOL hasn’t managed a single strong monthly close, leaving HODLers who bought near the $250 cycle top deep underwater.<\/span><\/p>\n

As a result, the $60 region is becoming an increasingly critical long-term support level.<\/span><\/p>\n

On-chain, however, the price weakness still hasn’t translated into weaker fundamentals. As the chart below shows, Solana activated SIMD-0286 on the 29th of July, raising the compute limit from 60 to 100 million.<\/span><\/p>\n

In other words, the network now has more room to handle demand spikes without affecting network activity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Solana\"<\/a>
Source: Pine Analytics<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Notably, the upgrade has also eased fee pressure. Since SIMD-0286 was activated, the 90th percentile transaction fee has fallen 30%, from 29,800 to 20,800 lamports, pointing to better throughput and improved capital efficiency across the network.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Interestingly, Token Terminal data shows Solana processed 8.7 billion transactions in July, its highest monthly transaction count in four months. <\/span><\/p>\n

In essence, while Solana [SOL]<\/a> continues to struggle on the price chart, on-chain activity is moving in the opposite direction, suggesting the network is becoming stronger.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to AMBCrypto, this couldn’t have come at a better time.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Why Solana’s on-chain strength is hard to ignore\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n

Solana’s improving fundamentals are now starting to align with a bullish technical setup.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to one analyst, SOL is forming the same breakout-and-retest structure that has historically preceded its strongest rallies. In 2021, the pattern was followed by a 2,500% move, while the 2023 setup led to a 3,600% rally. <\/span><\/p>\n

The analyst argues that SOL is once again holding the same high-timeframe support, suggesting the market could be building a similar structure<\/a> for the 2026-2027 cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Notably, this is where the chart below becomes important. Historically, August and September have been Bitcoin’s weakest months, increasing the odds of capital rotating into high-beta altcoins. <\/span><\/p>\n

Against this backdrop, the SOL\/BTC pair continues to chop below 0.002. A decisive breakout from this range could mark the beginning of a broader trend reversal. <\/span><\/p>\n

\"SOL<\/a>
Source: TradingView (SOL\/USDT)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In that context, Solana’s on-chain fundamentals become difficult to ignore.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The SIMD-0286 upgrade has improved network efficiency, transaction activity is back at a four-month high, and SOL continues to hold a historically important technical structure. These factors suggest Solana may be quietly building the foundation for its next major move.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Combined with the ongoing SOL\/BTC consolidation and Bitcoin entering its historically weaker August-September period, the setup for a potential rotation cycle is starting to take shape. <\/span><\/p>\n

If momentum shifts back toward altcoins, SOL\/BTC could become a key catalyst for Solana’s trend reversal in the coming months. <\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n
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  • Solana is still in a downtrend, but its network activity and fundamentals continue to improve.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • If Bitcoin weakens and money moves back into altcoins, SOL\/BTC could help Solana start a recovery.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Solana posts its 10th consecutive monthly loss as traders watch whether SOL\/BTC can trigger a bullish turnaround.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":113,"featured_media":621423,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-621411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSolana has been bearish for 10 months in a row: Can SOL still make a comeback? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Solana enters August after its 10th straight monthly loss, but strengthening SOL\/BTC setup could signal a potential trend reversal.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/solana-has-been-bearish-for-10-months-in-a-row-can-sol-still-make-a-comeback\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Solana has been bearish for 10 months in a row: Can SOL still make a comeback? 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