{"id":617245,"date":"2026-07-18T10:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T14:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=617245"},"modified":"2026-07-18T07:53:32","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T11:53:32","slug":"bitcoin-break-above-80k-unlikely-coinshares-identifies-missing-trigger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-break-above-80k-unlikely-coinshares-identifies-missing-trigger\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin – \u2018Break above $80K unlikely\u2019 \u2013 CoinShares identifies missing trigger"},"content":{"rendered":"

After rising 1.56% over the previous day, Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at $63,921.09 at the time of writing, indicating that it is beginning to recover.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, according to a recent CoinShares report, the recovery of Bitcoin has been fueled more by shifts in the overall economy than by developments unique to the cryptocurrency space.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sentiment has turned, and macro is the reason why<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

In H1 2026, concerns about inflation, high-interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and slowing economic growth had caused investors to withdraw about $8 billion from cryptocurrency investment products over the last eight weeks<\/a>, the longest and largest outflow on record.<\/span><\/p>\n

180-degree sentiment in sentiment<\/span><\/h2>\n

However, that trend has begun to reverse<\/a>, and it appears that inflows will likely continue for two weeks in a row. <\/span><\/p>\n

Interestingly, it was not any Bitcoin-specific metric that caused the sentiment shift but a reaction to lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which led investors to believe that the U.S. Federal Reserve might ease monetary policy.<\/span><\/p>\n

For context, a modest Bitcoin<\/a> rally and inflows of about $250 million were triggered on the 14th of July<\/a> when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported -0.4%, below the expected -0.2%.<\/p>\n

Expectations of easing monetary policy were further reinforced the next day when the Producer Price Index (PPI) abruptly fell -0.3% against forecasts of 0.0%<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Markets began to anticipate fewer rate hikes or even rate cuts as a result of less pressure from the Federal Reserve to maintain high-interest rates due to lower inflation. <\/span><\/p>\n

This resulted in hundreds of millions of dollars being invested in Bitcoin investment products as a result of this increased risk appetite.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/a>
Source: SoSo Value<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

What lies ahead for Bitcoin?\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Additionally, the report shed light on the fact that Bitcoin has probably reached its short-term bottom, but without a significant change in Federal Reserve policy, a robust bull run is unlikely.<\/span><\/p>\n

A slightly weaker economy could provide a further boost to bitcoin as we see a rerating in interest rate expectations.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

In fact, instead of exhibiting a sustained rally, Bitcoin is anticipated to trade within a relatively narrow range until there are unambiguous indications of monetary easing. The range projected was $120,000 and $60,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

We expect range trading, with a break above US$80,000 unlikely absent a meaningful shift in monetary policy expectations.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

AMBCrypto’s recent article<\/a> also noted that Bitcoin is predicted to continue its downward trajectory and drop to $55,560 and $51,934 in the upcoming weeks.<\/span><\/p>\n

Additionally, the report demonstrates that investor sentiment is still cautious. In fact, a growing number of people are becoming interested in blockchain-related stocks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This was further confirmed by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which was in the “extreme fear” zone.<\/p>\n

\"Fear<\/a>
Source: Alternative<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\n

Final Summary <\/span><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Macroeconomic factors are shaping bitcoin more than just crypto-specific metrics. <\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • Investors are still cautious of Bitcoin and are more keen on blockchain-related stocks.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Is this recent rally the beginning of a recovery or merely a relief bounce?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":617264,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,66,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-617245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin - \u2018Break above $80K unlikely\u2019 \u2013 CoinShares identifies missing trigger - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A modest Bitcoin rally and inflows of about $250 million were triggered when CPI reported -0.4%, and PPI fell to -0.3%.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-break-above-80k-unlikely-coinshares-identifies-missing-trigger\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin - 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