{"id":615463,"date":"2026-07-11T22:00:15","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T02:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=615463"},"modified":"2026-07-11T08:20:42","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T12:20:42","slug":"bitcoin-nears-cycle-bottom-despite-record-8b-spot-etf-outflows-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-nears-cycle-bottom-despite-record-8b-spot-etf-outflows-why\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows \u2013 Why?"},"content":{"rendered":"

At press time, Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at $64,099.20, indicating a recovery from the decline below the $60k mark, but there are still concerns lingering. CoinShares’ Head of Research, James Butterfill, in his recent report, emphasized the three-front headwind facing Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n

One of the main issues, according to Butterfill, is the shaky ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which hasn’t done much to allay worries about a new Middle East war.<\/span><\/p>\n

He said,<\/p>\n

In markets like this, the turn often begins when forced selling is exhausted rather than when the headline backdrop improves.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Concerns were further heightened by the minutes of the most recent Federal Reserve meeting, which concluded that interest rates remained unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Because of tariffs, disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, and robust demand for AI, the Fed’s top concern remained inflation, with core PCE inflation at 3.3% in April and an estimated 3.4% in May. However, there was little justification for policymakers to loosen monetary policy, as the U.S. unemployment rate was 4.3% in May and then decreased to 4.2% in June.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Is Bitcoin nearing the bottom?\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Butterfill, however, finds preliminary indications<\/a> that Bitcoin<\/a> might be approaching a bottom despite these obstacles. The reason behind this is that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced the longest withdrawal streak on record, with net outflows of about $8 billion over the last eight weeks<\/a>. <\/span><\/p>\n

However, recent inflows over the past three trading sessions indicate that institutional selling pressure might be lessening.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/a>
Source: Farside Investors<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Meanwhile, there are no longer as many worries about Strategy’s Bitcoin sales. A much bigger sale of 3,588 BTC<\/a> in early July had little effect on the market, with Bitcoin eventually rising toward $63,800.<\/span><\/p>\n

Regarding regulations, Butterfill notes that there is waning hope for the CLARITY Ac<\/a>t, which is still pending a Senate floor vote. The approval is further predicted to push Bitcoin to new heights.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hence, Butterfill concluded it best when he said,<\/p>\n

The market remains under pressure, but not broken.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Final Summary<\/span><\/h2>\n

Meanwhile, the BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap displays that the $77k cost-basis cluster has now become a significant resistance zone after supporting prices in April and May.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/a>
Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Since many holders might sell at break-even, a much larger supply cluster around $84k to $85k also represents significant overhead resistance. <\/span><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, new accumulation in the $60k\u2013$63k range indicates that buyers are establishing a new support base. While sustained buying above $77k would improve the bullish outlook, overall, Bitcoin is still below significant historical cost-basis levels<\/a>, indicating cautious sentiment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary <\/span><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Middle East tensions and the 3.50% to 3.75% Fed rate are playing a major role behind Bitcoin’s weak momentum. <\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and the BTC sell-off by Strategy suggest that Bitcoin might be nearing its bottom.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Will sellers control bulls, or will Bitcoin see a recovery jump to $77K?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":615467,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,66,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-615463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows \u2013 Why? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Additional strain was caused by the Bitcoin ETFs going through the longest withdrawal streak ever, with net outflows of roughly $8 billion.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-nears-cycle-bottom-despite-record-8b-spot-etf-outflows-why\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows \u2013 Why? 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