{"id":606711,"date":"2026-06-10T02:30:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T06:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=606711"},"modified":"2026-06-10T00:06:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T04:06:25","slug":"white-house-finalizes-review-of-cftcs-prediction-markets-framework-details","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/white-house-finalizes-review-of-cftcs-prediction-markets-framework-details\/","title":{"rendered":"White House finalizes review of CFTC\u2019s prediction markets framework &#8211; Details"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The White House has finalized its review of the recent Commodity Futures Trading Commission\u2019s (CFTC) prediction markets proposal framework.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the OIRA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reginfo.gov\/public\/Forward?SearchTarget=RegReview&amp;textfield=3038&amp;Image61.x=0&amp;Image61.y=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">website<\/a>, the White House finished its review last Friday. This means that the regulator\u2019s proposed draft rule on prediction markets could be out soon for a second round of public comment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_606715\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-606715\" style=\"width: 1513px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-606715 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516.png\" alt=\"prediction markets\" width=\"1513\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516.png 1513w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516-300x127.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516-1024x433.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516-768x325.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-09-145516-1200x508.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1513px) 100vw, 1513px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-606715\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Source: Reginfo.gov\u00a0<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, it&#8217;s worth pointing out that the first review done in March was meant to gather information on how to formulate the said framework. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In fact, during this stage, several legal experts, prediction markets, and even venture firms like a16z made <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/a16z-backs-cftcs-push-for-clear-rules-on-prediction-markets-theyre-information-machines\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">submissions<\/a>, arguing for CFTC to maintain sole authority in the sector.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to a16z, without CFTC as the sole authority, the segment will have fragmented liquidity, and its use case as forecasting and risk management tools won\u2019t be effective.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Based on information gathered during this first stage of pubic comment, CFTC crafted a draft policy framework. This is what has been reviewed and could soon be released by the agency.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The next step would be another round of public feedback window on the draft proposal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After tweaks to the draft based on the expected feedback, it will be sent again to the White House for review. Finally, it will be voted on by the agency commissioners before it can become a formal law.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Prediction markets &#8211; Growth and potential pitfalls<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The push for clear rules for the segment has intensified amid the CFTC legal fight with states for jurisdiction in the segment. States like Minnesota, for instance, view prediction markets as gambling sites and have recently banned them.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other states have also taken a similar strict stance, but the CFTC has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/inside-the-cftcs-fight-against-minnesotas-prediction-market-ban\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">moved<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to block their moves. In fact, sports betting firms also say the platforms are \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/inside-the-legal-war-threatening-the-future-of-kalshi-polymarket-100-gambling-platforms\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">100% gambling sites<\/a>\u2019 and have been calling for strict regulations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But President Donald Trump has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/trump-calls-upon-cftc-to-protect-prediction-markets-its-a-major-industry\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">backed<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the CFTC for the sole oversight of the sector, calling it a \u2018major industry.\u2019<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the legal fight between CFTC and states, which is likely to end in the Supreme Court, could also play out during the rulemaking process. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WALLACHLEGAL\/status\/2064012984104407098\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daniel Wallach<\/a>, a sports betting and gaming lawyer,<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0traditional players will file lawsuits against the agency if the framework is formalized as law.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coming soon too: APA lawsuits. Prediction markets litigation 2.0.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In short, rivals could move to court to block the CFTC from implementing the final prediction markets guidelines. It remains to be seen how the next few months will shape the sector.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The segment is now a multi-billion-dollar industry. In fact, it hit a new record monthly trading volume of $25 billion in May.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_606726\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-606726\" style=\"width: 2401px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-606726 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly.png\" alt=\"prediction markets \" width=\"2401\" height=\"1400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly.png 2401w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-1024x597.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-768x448.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-1536x896.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-2048x1194.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/polymarket-and-kalshi-volume-monthly-1200x700.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2401px) 100vw, 2401px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-606726\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: The Block<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><strong>Final Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The White House has reviewed the CFTC\u2019s proposed draft rules on prediction markets.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em>A legal analyst warned that traditional exchanges and sports betting sites could block CFTC\u2019s plans.<\/em>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CFTC is actively pushing for clear rules for the prediction markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":606733,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,66,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-606711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-global-news","category-new-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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