{"id":590207,"date":"2026-04-18T12:00:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T16:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=590207"},"modified":"2026-04-18T03:44:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T07:44:43","slug":"bitcoin-sths-realize-gains-correction-or-short-squeeze-whats-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-sths-realize-gains-correction-or-short-squeeze-whats-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin STHs realize gains: Correction or short squeeze, what’s ahead?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The current market setup is approaching an inflection point where bulls will need to step up.<\/span><\/p>\n

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin\u2019s [BTC] 2.57% rally on the 17th of April pushed the price back above $76k, with the upper wick reaching $78k, a level BTC hasn\u2019t tested in over 70 days. <\/span><\/p>\n

Now trading roughly 4% below the $80k mark, on-chain pressure is starting to build.<\/span><\/p>\n

As shown in the chart below, BTC<\/a> perfectly bounced from the realized price of the 18m-2y long-term holder (LTH) cohort near $62k. <\/span><\/p>\n

In fact, price has now moved above the cost basis of the 1m\u20133m short-term holder (STH) cohort around $75,620. <\/span>However, this remains a key zone where supply typically increases.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The logic is straightforward: STHs are usually the first to sell once Bitcoin trades above their cost basis, locking in profits. <\/span><\/p>\n

And this time, even though BTC is only about 2.6% above this level, the ongoing profit-taking suggests traders are already positioning for potential overhead resistance near the $80k area.<\/span><\/p>\n

In this environment, many market participants prefer securing gains rather than risking a pullback that could compress profits. <\/span><\/p>\n

Therefore, for the rally to maintain strength, bulls now need to absorb this selling pressure; otherwise, momentum could stall before BTC gets a clean shot at an $80k breakout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Interestingly, the timing couldn\u2019t be better for Bitcoin bulls.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rising Bitcoin shorts could fuel a squeeze toward $80k<\/b><\/h2>\n

With realized profits continuing to pile up, betting on Bitcoin\u2019s downside may seem like a logical move.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Notably, Bitcoin\u2019s technical setup also supports this narrative. On the daily chart, BTC\u2019s RSI has climbed to a three-month high, approaching the 75 level. <\/span><\/p>\n

This move comes after Bitcoin\u2019s nearly 10% rally from the $70k level, when RSI was sitting in a neutral zone. In simple terms, BTC is now moving into overbought territory, a sign of strong momentum, but also a condition that increases the risk of short-term cooling.<\/span><\/p>\n

At the same time, Bitcoin shorts appear to be getting more aggressive. As shown in the chart below, BTC funding rates remain deeply negative. <\/span><\/p>\n

In fact, negative Funding Rates jumped nearly 400%, dropping from \u22120.003 the previous day to \u22120.0148 on the 17th of April, just as BTC rallied roughly 2.5% toward $78k.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"BTC\"<\/a>
Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Taken together, an overbought RSI, short-term holders locking in gains, and persistently negative Funding Rates, the setup explains why betting on Bitcoin\u2019s downside currently looks reasonable, with bears expecting resistance before a clean move above $80k.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, if bulls step in and absorb the selling pressure, this same setup could quickly flip into a bear trap.<\/span><\/p>\n

From an institutional angle, over $650 million has recently moved into Bitcoin ETFs, with BlackRock\u2019s IBIT accounting for nearly 45% of total inflows. <\/span><\/p>\n

Alongside a positive Coinbase Premium Index (CPI), this suggests bid support<\/a> is still present beneath the market. If risk appetite remains strong, BTC pushing past $80k on the back of a short squeeze looks increasingly likely for now.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Rising profit-taking and aggressive short positioning place Bitcoin at a key inflection point near $80k resistance.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • Strong ETF inflows and underlying bid support could turn bearish positioning into a short squeeze-driven breakout.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Bitcoin reaches a key inflection point as rising profit-taking meets growing short bets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":113,"featured_media":590236,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-590207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin STHs realize gains: Correction or short squeeze, what's ahead? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is at an inflection point as rising realized profits and short positions raise the probability of either a correction or a squeeze.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-sths-realize-gains-correction-or-short-squeeze-whats-ahead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin STHs realize gains: Correction or short squeeze, what's ahead? 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