{"id":582125,"date":"2026-03-25T02:30:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T21:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=582125"},"modified":"2026-03-24T17:27:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T11:57:46","slug":"cardano-stuck-in-2-month-range-is-a-long-term-bottom-in-sight-for-ada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/cardano-stuck-in-2-month-range-is-a-long-term-bottom-in-sight-for-ada\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardano stuck in 2-month range: Is a long-term bottom in sight for ADA?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cardano [ADA] continued to trade within a range. The range was nearly two months old now, and the altcoin does not show any signs of a breakout yet. Even though Bitcoin [BTC] and some altcoins saw a bullish March, Cardano was unable to replicate their gains.<\/p>\n

\"Cardano<\/a>
Source: ADA\/USDT on TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A move beyond $0.245 or $0.30 is needed for Cardano to establish its next price trend.<\/p>\n

Since the 6th of February, the altcoin market (excluding Ethereum [ETH]<\/a>) has gained 7.91% in cumulative market capitalization. ADA has kept pace with an 8.47% move. Should long-term investors buy the relatively weak Cardano<\/a> token near its range lows and wait for it to catch up to Bitcoin<\/a>?<\/p>\n

The Cardano opportunity explained<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\"Cardano<\/a>
Source: Santiment<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In a post on X, Santiment explained why Cardano was flashing bottom signals<\/a>. The 365-day MVRV was at -43% and deep within a buy zone. Cardano has shed 71% in value since September 2025.<\/p>\n

The MVRV tracks the average profit\/loss that holders are at. The metric showed that the past year’s holders were facing a 43% drawdown<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Binance funding rate was the most negative it has been since June, 2023. This high shorting level meant traders anticipated more losses. Santiment noted that this signal has been a bottom signal historically.<\/p>\n

These short positions would provide the fuel for a short squeeze, and the subsequent price gain can capture investor attention and draw capital flows inward.<\/p>\n

The combination of a market consensus of further losses and severe yearly holder drawdown could be the long-term bottom signal that Cardano investors are waiting for.<\/p>\n

Profit-taking would be important during the next rally<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The MVRV was at extremely low levels, but investors should remember the wider crypto bear market. A sizeable rally would likely face selling pressure as holders indulge in profit-taking and underwater investors exit at breakeven.<\/p>\n

Investors should keep a close eye on the MVRV values across different timeframes to understand what short and long-term holders are doing.<\/p>\n

\"Cardano<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The 3-month liquidation heatmap showed that $0.300, $0.315, $0.365, and $0.430 were the key magnetic zones that the price could be attracted to. Taking partial profits at these levels was a viable option.<\/p>\n

To the south, another liquidity cluster lay at $0.240, just below the current range lows. A price drop below $0.235-$0.240 could invalidate the buying opportunity and assert seller dominance.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • The combination of heavy shorting pressure and deep drawdown for 1-year holders has historically been a market bottom signal.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • A breakout beyond $0.30, the local range highs, would confirm bullish strength.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    The combination of heavy shorting pressure and deep drawdown for Cardano holders presented a market bottom signal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":582347,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,6379,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-582125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-cardano-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCardano stuck in 2-month range: Is a long-term bottom in sight for ADA? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The 1-year MVRV was at -43% to show holders were facing extreme losses. 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