{"id":578282,"date":"2026-03-11T20:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T14:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=578282"},"modified":"2026-03-11T19:34:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T14:04:14","slug":"avalanche-rejects-key-resistance-could-avax-drop-to-8-25-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/avalanche-rejects-key-resistance-could-avax-drop-to-8-25-next\/","title":{"rendered":"Avalanche rejects KEY resistance: Could AVAX drop to $8.25 next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Avalanche [AVAX] may be heading toward a notable decline as the price fails to sustain its recent breakout. This hints at a repeat of a historical pattern. <\/span><\/p>\n

Another factor reinforcing the bearish outlook is the broader market sentiment, which remains bearish amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions.<\/span><\/p>\n

At press time, AVAX was up 2.5% over the past 24 hours, trading at $9.57 with an intraday high of $9.9352. Despite recent price declines, market participation has surged, as trading volume jumped more than 25% to $387 million.<\/span><\/p>\n

AVAX\u2019s upcoming move: Key levels to watch<\/b><\/h2>\n

Despite the current market structure, a well-followed <\/span>crypto expert<\/a><\/strong> shared a post on X, noting that a successful breakout in AVAX<\/a> could lead to a notable move. In the post, the expert shared an AVAX chart showing that the asset is on the verge of breaking out of a falling wedge pattern.<\/span><\/p>\n

On the four-hour chart, however, the structure tells a different story. AMBCrypto\u2019s technical analysis shows that since the 5th of February 2026, AVAX has been trading within a parallel channel, bounded between $8.25 and $9.77.<\/span><\/p>\n

During this period, it has been observed that whenever the asset reaches either the upper or lower boundary, it faces a strong reversal in the opposite direction.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"AVAX<\/a>
Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Notably, AVAX has begun rejecting the upper boundary at $9.77, which suggests the price may be on the verge of repeating history. <\/span><\/p>\n

Based on the current price action, if the asset remains below the $9.77 level, it could see a price drop of 13.50%, potentially reaching the lower boundary near $8.25 in the coming days.<\/span><\/p>\n

At press time, the Average Directional Index (ADX), an indicator that measures an asset\u2019s directional strength, has reached 34.55. This indicates strong directional momentum in the asset.<\/span><\/p>\n

Decoding AVAX accumulation trends<\/b><\/h2>\n

Derivative data suggests that investors may be following AVAX\u2019s past performance and current market structure, as they appear to be dumping their holdings.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to CoinGlass\u2019 spot inflow\/outflow metrics, more than $436K worth of AVAX has been moved to exchanges, hinting at a potential preparation for a sell-off.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"AVAX<\/a>
Source: Coinglass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In addition, intraday traders are also following the current trend. At press time, the AVAX Long\/Short Ratio stood at 0.9419, indicating that sellers are dominating the asset.<\/span><\/p>\n

Additionally, the data further discloses that traders are currently over-leveraged at $9.34 on the lower side and $10.04 on the upper side. These levels act as key support and resistance levels for the asset.<\/span><\/p>\n

At these levels, traders have built $3.15 million worth of long positions and $5.14 million worth of short positions. This indicates that traders betting on the short side are currently dominating and outperforming those betting on long positions.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"AVAX<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\n

Final Summary<\/b><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Avalanche appears bearish on the four-hour chart and is poised for a 13.5% decline.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • Derivative data tools reveal that investors and traders seem to be following the trend.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    AVAX rally may fade as chart points to a potential 13% decline.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":97,"featured_media":578308,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,41,66,3,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-578282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-analysis","category-new-news","category-news","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAVAX risks 13% decline as price rejects key resistance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AVAX risks a 13% fall after rejecting key resistance near $9.77, as bearish momentum builds and traders increasingly bet on short positions.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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