{"id":568058,"date":"2026-02-06T17:30:33","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T12:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=568058"},"modified":"2026-02-06T13:37:56","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T08:07:56","slug":"xrp-price-prediction-why-1-is-in-focus-if-this-support-fails","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/xrp-price-prediction-why-1-is-in-focus-if-this-support-fails\/","title":{"rendered":"XRP price prediction: Why $1 is in focus if THIS support fails"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ripple’s [XRP] price structure has been trending downwards, printing lower highs while sliding from above $3.50 toward the $1.50 zone.<\/p>\n

As prices weakened, derivatives activity moved in the opposite direction, creating a visible divergence that framed the current positioning.<\/p>\n

According to Maartun, a crypto analyst, Open Interest (OI) expanded<\/a> by roughly +12% in the past 24 hours, at press time.<\/p>\n

This was not in a single spike but a sustained build across multiple sessions, particularly during relief bounces in November and early January.<\/p>\n

This rise aligned with increased ETF desk activity and heavier hedging flows, suggesting institutional participation alongside directional bets.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Yet the context matters. Rising OI into a falling price usually signals something other than pure accumulation. Instead, it often reflects speculative leverage entering short exposure or late long positioning attempting dip entries.<\/p>\n

Liquidation clusters and sell alerts near local tops reinforce that leverage, not spot demand, drives the expansion. As positioning thickens while price compresses, market fragility increases rather than stabilizes.<\/p>\n

Leverage expansion during price decline often precedes volatility expansion, rather than immediate reversal.<\/p>\n

Derivatives positioning signals compression<\/strong><\/h2>\n

XRP\u2019s <\/a>derivatives market reveals mounting pressure beneath its price action. Funding Rates, which have hovered near neutral, have recently shifted slightly negative.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This shift shows shorts paying longs, pointing to growing bearish crowding rather than balanced positioning.<\/p>\n

As this develops, OI-weighted funding<\/a> tightens while price falls from the $3.00 region toward $1.50, reinforcing that leverage expansion is driving the move rather than spot selling.<\/p>\n

The Long\/Short Ratio<\/a> adds further context. Seller dominance remains visible across several intervals, with taker sell volume exceeding buy pressure while price trends lower.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This alignment reflects clear directional conviction instead of random market activity. Yet liquidation mapping introduces another layer.<\/p>\n

Heatmap<\/a> ladders cluster heavily between $1.35 and $1.45 above price, while deeper long liquidations rest near $1.18\u2013$1.22 below.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This stacked positioning creates two volatility pathways. Negative funding combined with elevated OI builds short-squeeze potential if the price moves into overhead ladders.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, failure to rise exposes trapped long positions to cascading liquidations. Market structure, therefore, remains squeeze-prone, not trend-resolved.<\/p>\n

<\/article>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
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\n
\n

$1.15 support test puts XRP at risk<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

XRP trades in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs while moving closer to key support.<\/p>\n

Price recently tested the $1.15 swing low, which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci retracement, where short-term buying appeared.<\/p>\n

From that level, a small rebound pushed the price toward $1.29, yet momentum remains weak as the broader structure stays bearish.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Above, $1.44 marks former support that has turned into resistance, strengthened by the 78.6% retracement near $1.39. A daily move back above this zone would reduce downside pressure, allowing price to rotate toward the 50% level at $1.73.<\/p>\n

However, failure to hold $1.15 on a daily close would weaken market confidence, leaving XRP exposed to a deeper move toward the psychological $1.00 level.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • XRP declines as Open Interest builds +12%, signaling leverage expansion and rising market fragility rather than spot-driven accumulation.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • Bearish crowding, negative funding, and dense liquidation ladders leave price squeeze-prone, while $1.15 support remains the breakdown trigger.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer\u2019s opinion.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    XRP\u2019s falling price and climbing OI point to leverage-driven fragility, not accumulation, as markets watch the $1.15 breakdown level<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":120,"featured_media":568113,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,41,18,66,3,23,55,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-568058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-analysis","category-hide-cryptopanic","category-new-news","category-news","category-no-home","category-xrp-ripple-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nXRP price prediction: Why $1 is in focus if THIS support fails - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Open Interest growth amid XRP\u2019s decline signals speculative leverage, raising squeeze potential and downside risk below $1.15.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/xrp-price-prediction-why-1-is-in-focus-if-this-support-fails\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"XRP price prediction: Why $1 is in focus if THIS support fails - 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