{"id":567090,"date":"2026-02-03T22:30:49","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T17:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=567090"},"modified":"2026-02-03T16:22:38","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T10:52:38","slug":"is-altseason-finally-brewing-only-if-these-2-indicators-flip-first","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/is-altseason-finally-brewing-only-if-these-2-indicators-flip-first\/","title":{"rendered":"Is altseason finally brewing? Only if THESE 2 indicators flip first"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hopes for an altcoin season in 2026 are starting to build, with investors beginning to look beyond Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

That said, it may still be too soon to call it. While expectations are rising, the conditions needed for a full altcoin rally are not firmly in place yet.<\/p>\n

Altseason within sight?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The latest ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.6%, its highest reading in nearly 40 months. This pushed U.S. manufacturing back into expansion territory.<\/p>\n

\"altcoins\"<\/a>
Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Past altcoin rallies have tended to follow<\/a> periods when ISM moved decisively higher. In both 2017 and 2021, altseasons took shape only after PMI readings climbed above the 55 mark.<\/p>\n

While current levels remain below that threshold, it looks like a potential turning point may be in order.<\/p>\n

But that’s not all…<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

Ethereum [ETH]<\/a> – famously known as a harbinger of altseason – has closed in the red in 12 of the last 15 months with a prolonged stretch of weakness.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The monthly returns chart<\/a> makes this slowdown obvious, showing uneven gains with frequent drawdowns across 2024 and into early 2026. Even during brief comebacks, follow-through has been limited.<\/p>\n

This is important. Sustained altseasons<\/a> have almost always followed a clear and consistent uptrend in Ethereum.<\/p>\n

Altcoin signs look weak<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\"\"<\/a>
Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

CoinGlass’ Altcoin Season Index was at 39 at the time of writing, below the level that usually indicates a rotation away from Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a>. Despite growing macro optimism, capital has yet to flow into altcoins on a larger scale.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

At the same time, BTC.D was close to 60% on the daily chart.<\/p>\n

Altseasons usually started with a clear decline in BTC dominance, with investors moving down the risk curve. For now, that shift has not yet happened.<\/p>\n

Overall, while altseason expectations are beginning to fire up, they may very well be premature. Only time will tell.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Early macro signals are improving, but the market lacks a trigger for a true altseason. <\/em><\/li>\n
  • With altcoin season index at 39, capital is still firmly in Bitcoin.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    ETH weakness and a 39 altseason index slow the narrative.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":114,"featured_media":567118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,35,360,32,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-567090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-ethereum-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nIs altseason finally brewing? 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