{"id":565518,"date":"2026-01-28T12:30:23","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T07:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=565518"},"modified":"2026-01-28T11:50:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T06:20:07","slug":"bitcoin-rainbow-chart-says-accumulate-but-analysts-warn-of-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-rainbow-chart-says-accumulate-but-analysts-warn-of-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Rainbow Chart says \u2018accumulate’ – But analysts warn of bear market"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin has rallied 3.74% from its lows on the 25th of January, reaching $ 89,300 at the time of writing. The move came after U.S. President Donald Trump said they would pause imposing new tariffs after a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.<\/p>\n

This development eased the macro market uncertainty, but the Bitcoin price trend remains bearish.<\/p>\n

AMBCrypto reported that whale balances were climbing, while retail investors were leaving.<\/p>\n

There is a case for a bullish Bitcoin reaction<\/a> as geopolitical uncertainties<\/a> appeared to ease. The FOMC meeting<\/a> will bring added volatility to the market, but the consolidation around $90k needs decisive spot flows to bring recovery.<\/p>\n

If there is a recovery to be made.<\/p>\n

Traditional Bitcoin top signals fail to fire<\/strong><\/h2>\n

In a post on X<\/a>, CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno<\/a> opined that the crypto market was trying to make up narratives to fit their biases.<\/p>\n

When they fail, they make up the next one, while missing what the actual data says-that Bitcoin<\/a> is now bearish.<\/p>\n

“S2F failed. Power law failed. M2 failed. Business cycle failed. The latest model to try and catch the Bitcoin low seems to be the BTC\/Gold ratio, which of course will show that Bitcoin is tremendously undervalued against gold. Fits the narrative.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Analyst Axel Adler Jr<\/a> also reported that the crypto winter<\/a> is deepening. This was not a good sign for investors looking at the current bearishness as part of a pullback before new all-time highs.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: Blockchain Center<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This can be extremely confusing because some of the older (albeit less serious) indicators, such as the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, did not even get close to a market top. The highest that BTC prices reached in this cycle were into the “Accumulate” zone.<\/p>\n

In 2017, the extremes were tested, and in 2021, the extremes were approached. The current one was way off if a crypto winter is indeed underway.<\/p>\n

\"BM<\/a>
Source: BM Pro<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Neither did the Pi Cycle Top indicator fire a sell signal. It had successfully predicted the market top in the previous three cycles. Like the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, the current cycle was massively overestimated.<\/p>\n

Unless, of course, you’re willing to accept that Bitcoin can indeed push to new highs past $150k in 2026.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Onchain analysts agreed that the data showed a Bitcoin bear market was underway.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • This went against what traditional, and less widely used indicators, such as the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, were saying.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer\u2019s opinion.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Neither the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart nor the Pi Cycle Top indicator has fired a top signal this cycle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":565523,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-565518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Rainbow Chart says \u2018accumulate' - But analysts warn of bear market - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Has the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart failed to call this cycle's top, or more interestingly, is the top not in yet?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-rainbow-chart-says-accumulate-but-analysts-warn-of-bear-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Rainbow Chart says \u2018accumulate' - 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