{"id":562817,"date":"2026-01-19T12:00:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T06:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=562817"},"modified":"2026-01-19T10:59:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T05:29:17","slug":"bitcoin-targets-98k-decoding-the-liquidity-vs-peak-cycle-debate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-targets-98k-decoding-the-liquidity-vs-peak-cycle-debate\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin targets $98k &#8211; Decoding the liquidity vs. peak cycle debate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin [BTC] isn&#8217;t quite done yet.<\/p>\n<p>Despite long-term cycle projections indicating a potential peak in the current times, liquidity conditions remain supportive. At the same time, risk is changing hands rather than leaving the market.<\/p>\n<p>What&#8217;s next?<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Liquidity trends challenge early cycle peak<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>It is widely believed that Bitcoin\u2019s cycle could peak around early 2026, but those views are mostly based on past patterns. Right now, it looks different, with no clear signs that global liquidity will coil in the coming months.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_562828\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-562828\" style=\"width: 1329px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-562828\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_.jpg\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"1329\" height=\"613\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_.jpg 1329w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_-300x138.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_-1024x472.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_-768x354.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/G-4ECUtXkAANKP_-1200x553.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1329px) 100vw, 1329px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-562828\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Instead, conditions <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alphaextract_\/status\/2012550653202006153?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">remain supportive,<\/a> which has so far helped risk assets like <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> perform well. Notably, the Global Liquidity Index has reached a new high for this cycle, so money conditions are still expanding.<\/p>\n<p>Markets do not always follow fixed timelines, and Bitcoin has often moved with changes in liquidity.<\/p>\n<p>Ergo, the chances of Bitcoin seeing upside look much stronger than a cycle top.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Now, as this happens&#8230;<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-25\">\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:052aa795-4505-42ad-b526-019d3b77b639-27\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-46\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"2cad872b-3e3d-48e1-8928-fcf9f28f36bd\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-2\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">&#8230;here&#8217;s how Bitcoin is handling this phase of the cycle.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Looking at the Realized Price by UTXO Age Bands, risk is being redistributed.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">STHs are sitting comfortably in profit, with their realized prices below the Spot level near $95,500. That means recent buyers aren\u2019t under pressure, reducing the chances of fear.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_562835\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-562835\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610.webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-562835 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610.webp\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610.webp 1280w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bai27s_65f3804961e78b1134f39a47db767021925f770be11f5aa2ea3e9f5d695b9610-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-562835\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Actually, it&#8217;s the mid-term holders <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/696bbdb6cbe161236f138f53-Bitcoin-Is-Redistributing-Risk-Not-Ending-the-Cycle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">who have the weight of the world on them.<\/a> Both the 3-6 month and 6-12 month cohorts are underwater, but it looks like losses are being absorbed in patience.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\"><strong>From a price POV<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Bitcoin is taking a moment. At press time, BTC was holding near $95,000 after a strong rebound from the $91,000-$92,000 demand zone. This is a level given strength by visible volume support on the chart. That area is now a key downside cushion.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_562830\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-562830\" style=\"width: 1598px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-562830\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1598\" height=\"873\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b.png 1598w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b-768x420.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b-1536x839.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3fe17dc7-a9f5-4d57-89e5-9ca5e56fa11b-1200x656.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1598px) 100vw, 1598px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-562830\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">On the upside, $97,000-$98,000 was the immediate resistance, where recent attempts stalled. RSI held above 60, while the MACD was positive, though momentum has slowed just a tad.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">BTC looks like it&#8217;s consolidating, and if it holds above $95K, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/why-bitcoins-next-price-breakout-hinges-on-btc-etf-flows\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a push ahead<\/a> is on the table.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 data-start=\"72\" data-end=\"788\">Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"75\" data-end=\"190\"><em>Bitcoin traders are bullish as global liquidity hits new cycle highs with minimal pressure.<\/em><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"75\" data-end=\"190\"><em>With BTC holding above $95K, risk appears redistributed. Upside possibilities are high.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strong liquidity means BTC&#8217;s not done yet!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":114,"featured_media":562841,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-562817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin targets $98k - Decoding the liquidity vs. peak cycle debate - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin holds as global liquidity hits a new high. 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