{"id":557567,"date":"2025-12-30T20:30:36","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T15:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=557567"},"modified":"2025-12-30T13:00:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T07:30:47","slug":"hype-steadies-as-lits-post-airdrop-sell-off-deepens-what-happens-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/hype-steadies-as-lits-post-airdrop-sell-off-deepens-what-happens-next\/","title":{"rendered":"HYPE steadies as LIT\u2019s post-airdrop sell-off deepens: What happens next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The cut-throat competition in the perpetual decentralized exchanges, popularly known as Perp DEXes, has stalled the market leader, Hyperliquid.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rivals such as Binance-backed Aster saw significant traction in H2 2025. But most analysts considered Lighter the real threat to Hyperliquid, citing several features, including privacy.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, ahead of the Lighter [LIT]<\/a> token debut and airdrop for early users, Messari research analyst Sam has downplayed its threat.<\/span><\/p>\n

In fact, Sam projected that HYPE could outperform LIT in the mid-term, <\/span>adding<\/span><\/a> that,\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cHYPE will reprice back to the \u2018endgame perp DEX.\u2019 HYPE investors won’t have to worry about fee compression for the foreseeable future.\u201d<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

For Sam, Lighter\u2019s perp volume was \u2018falling off a cliff\u2019 because the initial farming period that attracted most traders from Hyperliquid is almost over.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Hyperliquid<\/a>
Source: DeFiLlama<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Will Hyperliquid revenue recover?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

In H2, Hyperliquid’s perpetual volume dropped significantly amid rising competition and lower trading activity in Q4 2025. It fell from $396 billion to $165 billion \u2014 That\u2019s about 60% decline in traction.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Hyperliquid<\/a>
Source: DeFiLlama<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The cool-off also compressed the generated fees and revenues used to drive HYPE buybacks. <\/span><\/p>\n

In fact, average weekly revenue dropped from $20 million in Q3 to as low as $7 million in late December -A whopping 65% revenue shortfall.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

With ongoing <\/span>monthly unlocks<\/span><\/a> alongside the low pace of token buybacks, bears had a field day with HYPE. However, Sam believes a reversal could be likely if Lighter farmers return to Hyperliquid.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

HYPE vs. LIT price action<\/h2>\n

Meanwhile, Lighter officially announced the LIT token, noting that 25% of the total supply of 1 billion tokens will be immediately airdropped to early users. <\/span><\/p>\n

The rest of the tokenomics mirrored HYPE, including a 1-year vesting period for teams and utilizing revenue for <\/span>buybacks<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cRevenues from our core DEX product will be allocated between growth and buybacks depending on market conditions.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The token’s TGE listing price was $3.3, but it has dropped to $2.7, representing a 21% decline in the past seven days of trading. It experienced a 16% decline over the past 24 hours.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

On the other hand, HYPE was up over 2% in the 24 hours and could flip short-term bullish if it clears the recent peak at $26.4. The next roadblock and overheat resistance would be $27.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Hyperliquid<\/a>
Source: HYPE\/USDT, TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\n

Final Thoughts\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Lighter perp volume has dropped following the end of airdrop farming, and the LIT price also declined.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • HYPE experienced a short-term bounce, but it was unclear whether the recovery would extend.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Should HYPE bears be worried amid shifting perp DEX wars? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":557576,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-557567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHYPE steadies as LIT\u2019s post-airdrop sell-off deepens: What happens next? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"According to a Messari analyst, Hyperliquid's HYPE could regain ground as Lighter airdrop farming period ends\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/hype-steadies-as-lits-post-airdrop-sell-off-deepens-what-happens-next\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"HYPE steadies as LIT\u2019s post-airdrop sell-off deepens: What happens next? 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