{"id":557193,"date":"2025-12-29T09:30:41","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T04:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=557193"},"modified":"2025-12-28T18:43:33","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T13:13:33","slug":"why-bitcoin-traders-stay-cautious-despite-global-liquidity-boom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/why-bitcoin-traders-stay-cautious-despite-global-liquidity-boom\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bitcoin traders stay cautious despite global liquidity boom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin isn\u2019t moving the way it should. While global liquidity keeps expanding, BTC&#8217;s numbers look a bit different. Traders seem to be cautious, and the blind faith needed is still missing.<\/p>\n<p>So where do we go from here?<\/p>\n<h2>Liquidity is booming, BTC is not following<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"60\" data-end=\"362\">Global money supply is at record highs. The US, China, Japan, and the Eurozone have all expanded M2 to new peaks, so there&#8217;s abundant liquidity across major economies.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"60\" data-end=\"362\">So far, this setup has favored risk assets like Bitcoin. Yet, BTC remains nearly 30% below its all-time high.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_557198\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-557198\" style=\"width: 1233px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-557198\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA.jpg\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"1233\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA.jpg 1233w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA-300x197.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA-1024x671.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA-768x503.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9LpIq5aEAAcMaA-1200x786.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1233px) 100vw, 1233px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-557198\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"364\" data-end=\"760\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Liquidity is rising, but it <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2004921357583482945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">hasn\u2019t yet reached<\/a> the speculative markets yet. Instead, capital is waiting it out as uncertainty and tight financial conditions persist.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"364\" data-end=\"760\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">When liquidity eventually rotates into risk assets, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> is sure to make a move up.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"364\" data-end=\"760\">Is it too early?<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"410\">The Energy Value Oscillator <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Sykodelic_\/status\/2005027614520672426\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shows<\/a> BTC at levels last seen a decade ago, when the market was building its next major cycle. This metric tracks the energy poured into the network through mining and hash power.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"52\" data-end=\"410\">Deep lows have usually meant long-term bottoms. Not tops.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_557204\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-557204\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-scaled.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-557204\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1283\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-1024x513.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-768x385.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-1536x770.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-2048x1026.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G9NIXJdbsAA-mg7-1200x601.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-557204\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"412\" data-end=\"786\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">This cycle has never entered the overheated \u201cred zone,\u201d seen during past bull market peaks.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"412\" data-end=\"786\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">That fits with what we\u2019re seeing elsewhere; tighter liquidity, a slow moving business cycle, and risk assets that haven\u2019t fully picked up. The pressure is building towards something, and <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/its-time-for-crypto-to-be-important-why-galaxy-ceo-is-betting-on-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the big picture<\/a> remains to be seen.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"412\" data-end=\"786\">Derivatives confirm the hesitation<\/h2>\n<div class=\"flex flex-col text-sm pb-25\">\n<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:cb3a9fac-2c04-416b-b069-8366c344dc66-2\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-6\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"4f0cf1dc-2d37-4945-91bc-d589d0009fdc\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-2\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"40\" data-end=\"425\">Bitcoin\u2019s aggregated Open Interest has been trending lower, near $27.3 billion, after a decline. Traders are reducing exposure, not piling into leveraged bets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"40\" data-end=\"425\">At the same time, Funding Rates remained mildly positive at the time of writing, which means balanced positioning.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_557207\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-557207\" style=\"width: 1650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-557207\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1650\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2.png 1650w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2-300x66.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2-1024x225.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2-768x168.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2-1536x337.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-11-2-1200x263.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1650px) 100vw, 1650px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-557207\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Coinalyze<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"427\" data-end=\"811\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">To put it simply, leverage is being drained from the system. Speculators are stepping back, waiting before putting in fresh capital. A reset like this usually happens before big moves.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"427\" data-end=\"811\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">If liquidity does rotate into risk assets, Bitcoin still has plenty of room to absorb it without overheating.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2 data-start=\"427\" data-end=\"811\">Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"133\" data-end=\"234\"><em>Liquidity is rising, but risk appetite hasn\u2019t switched on yet. <\/em><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"133\" data-end=\"234\"><em>With leverage flushed and energy metrics near cycle lows, BTC may be coiling.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s very little confidence in Bitcoin right now.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":114,"featured_media":557215,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-557193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Bitcoin traders stay cautious despite global liquidity boom - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin remains nearly 30% below its ATH despite record global liquidity. 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