{"id":553340,"date":"2025-12-14T09:00:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T03:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=553340"},"modified":"2025-12-13T17:33:34","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T12:03:34","slug":"can-pendle-hold-2-after-polychain-pulls-the-plug-at-4m-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-pendle-hold-2-after-polychain-pulls-the-plug-at-4m-loss\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Pendle hold $2 after Polychain pulls the plug at $4M loss?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since facing rejection nearly $6.2 months ago, Pendle traded inside a steep downtrend, eventually dropping to a $2.02 low.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, Pendle traded around $2.17, down 4.1% daily and nearly 18.5% monthly, reflecting sustained bearish pressure.<\/p>\n<p>That prolonged weakness appeared to push long-term holders, including institutions, toward capitulation.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Polychain exits at a loss<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Despite <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/pendle-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pendle [PENDLE]<\/a> recording brief recoveries over the past month, whale behavior stayed consistent.<\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant\u2019s Spot Average Order Size showed Big Whale Orders persisted for nearly 30 consecutive days, signaling steady large-player activity.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_553364\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-553364\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-553364 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size.png\" alt=\"Pendle spot average order size\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Pendle-Spot-Average-Order-Size-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-553364\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, that activity leaned heavily toward distribution.<\/p>\n<p>One notable seller was Polychain Capital, flagged by <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/EmberCN\/status\/1999668599301247269\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">on-chain tracker EmberCN<\/a>. According to EmberCN, Polychain Capital exited its Pendle position after holding the token for several months.<\/p>\n<p>The firm accumulated roughly 4.114 million PENDLE between March and September at an average price near $3.16, totaling about $13 million.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_553365\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-553365\" style=\"width: 2230px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-553365\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai.jpg\" alt=\"polychain deposits\" width=\"2230\" height=\"1244\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai.jpg 2230w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-300x167.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-1024x571.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-768x428.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-1536x857.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-2048x1142.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/polychai-1200x669.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2230px) 100vw, 2230px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-553365\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: EmberCN<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Roughly four months later, Polychain Capital sold the holdings for around $2.19, locking in an estimated $3.99 million loss.<\/p>\n<p>Such loss-based exits often reflected a sentiment shift, where conviction weakened under prolonged downside pressure.<\/p>\n<p>That shift extended beyond one wallet.<\/p>\n<p>Coinalyze data showed Pendle posted a negative Buy Sell Delta for nine straight days, confirming sustained spot-side selling pressure. Negative delta readings indicated sell orders consistently outweighed buys, reinforcing downside dominance.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_553363\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-553363\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-553363\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot.png\" alt=\"Pendle buy sell volume\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle_buy_vs_sell_volume_spot-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-553363\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Coinalyze<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Can $2 support survive?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>AMBCrypto observed that Pendle\u2019s broader downtrend remained intact as sellers continued to control price action. On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index fell to 36, placing the token near oversold territory.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_553362\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-553362\" style=\"width: 1381px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-553362 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi.jpeg\" alt=\"Pendle RSI &amp; DMI\" width=\"1381\" height=\"653\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi.jpeg 1381w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi-300x142.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi-1024x484.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi-768x363.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pendle-rsi-1200x567.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1381px) 100vw, 1381px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-553362\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Directional Movement Index showed the Positive Directional Index sliding to 13, highlighting strong bearish momentum. That alignment typically favored trend continuation.<\/p>\n<p>If selling pressure persisted, Pendle could lose the $2 support level, opening the door toward the $1.80 zone.<\/p>\n<p>For sentiment to stabilize, the price would need to reclaim $2.25, signaling renewed buyer defense.<\/p>\n<p>A sustained hold above that level could then allow a recovery attempt toward $2.50.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Polychain Capital\u2019s exit marked a visible break in long-term conviction, but it was not the only signal weighing on Pendle.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Sustained spot selling and weak momentum suggested broader hesitation among buyers.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One major exit was clear, but selling pressure hinted at something deeper beneath Pendle\u2019s price.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":94,"featured_media":553368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-553340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can Pendle hold $2 after Polychain pulls the plug at $4M loss? 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