{"id":552607,"date":"2025-12-11T02:30:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T21:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=552607"},"modified":"2025-12-10T16:01:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T10:31:35","slug":"what-should-you-expect-from-bitcoin-after-fomc-meet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/what-should-you-expect-from-bitcoin-after-fomc-meet\/","title":{"rendered":"What should you expect from Bitcoin after FOMC meet?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s final meeting of the year began on the 9th of December. The CME Group’s Fed Watch tool<\/a> showed that traders and investors expect a 25 bps rate cut, while assigning only a small probability to <\/span>a 50 bps cut.<\/p>\n

Anticipated rate cuts are expected to boost the economy by lowering borrowing costs. The Fed has maintained this stance in recent months, having already announced cuts in September and October.<\/span><\/p>\n

In a post on X<\/a>, Futures trader Ardi<\/a> pointed out that a rate cut might not be immediately bullish for Bitcoin [BTC]. The 25 bps rate cuts in September and October were followed by a Bitcoin<\/a> price drop of 8% and 12%, respectively.<\/p>\n

Has the FOMC announcement been priced in?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

There was a pattern to the move, the analyst explained. Before the actual announcement of the easing rates, the market tends to front-run the expectation.<\/p>\n

The actual rally would already have finished by the time of the upcoming FOMC announcement.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: BTC\/USDT on TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This helped explain the rally on Tuesday that saw Bitcoin gain 5.7% in 12 hours to reach $94k. However, as the 4-hour chart shows, the rally moved up but not beyond the supply zone (red box) in place since mid-November.<\/p>\n

The OBV has been slowly trending higher in December. It is unclear if this buying pressure is enough to propel prices higher.<\/p>\n

The structure was also bullish on the H4 chart, with a bullish structure break (orange) seen on Tuesday. If the buyers can keep up the pressure, it is possible to breach the $94k resistance.<\/p>\n

As the previous post-FOMC BTC dips show, this break might need more time.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a>
Source: BTC\/USDT on TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

On the 1-hour chart, the bullish pressure remained intact at press time. The imbalance (white box) on this timeframe extended down to $90.6k.<\/p>\n

Explaining the bullish Bitcoin scenario<\/strong><\/h2>\n

As things stand, the bullish reaction seems delayed. It could be because the market is waiting for macroeconomic news. In this case, a move beyond $96k and a retest of the $94k-$95k area as support would offer a buying opportunity.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin traders, stay neutral or lean bearish<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The bearish scenario was the more likely outcome. The lack of a strong reaction from the retest of the H1 imbalance around $92.5k suggested that a short-term dip to $90.6k, the low of the gap, is incoming.<\/p>\n

Traders should be wary of a move below $90.6k and $89.9k as the first clues of a deeper retracement.<\/p>\n

The price dip could go as deep as $88k, or even $84k, before recovery begins. Traders should be prepared for either scenario, but need not rush to open positions right away.<\/p>\n

\n

Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • The previous rate cut announcements were not followed by strong, sustained Bitcoin price rallies, given the longer-term downtrend in place.<\/em><\/li>\n
  • Therefore, traders can remain bearishly biased now until the $96k resistance level is breached.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
    \n

    Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer\u2019s opinion<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Traders should be wary of a move below $90.6k and $89.9k as the first clues of a deeper Bitcoin retracement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":552657,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,35,360,18,66,3,23,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-552607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-analysis","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-hide-cryptopanic","category-new-news","category-news","category-no-home","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhat should you expect from Bitcoin after FOMC meet? - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The FOMC meeting will announce its findings soon, and Bitcoin's reaction to the previous two rate cut news has not been positive.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/what-should-you-expect-from-bitcoin-after-fomc-meet\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What should you expect from Bitcoin after FOMC meet? 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