{"id":550290,"date":"2025-12-01T19:30:41","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T14:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=550290"},"modified":"2025-12-01T14:40:36","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T09:10:36","slug":"chainlink-etf-wont-guarantee-a-links-green-december-heres-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/chainlink-etf-wont-guarantee-a-links-green-december-heres-why\/","title":{"rendered":"Chainlink ETF won&#8217;t guarantee LINK&#8217;s green December &#8211; Here&#8217;s why"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Chainlink has been the leading oracle platform in integrating traditional finance into decentralized finance. The two sides seem to be in line as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for Chainlink are set to hit Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p>Will this positive news save the declining on-chain activity and price action that seem to be taking a downward spiral?<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Chainlink ETF to launch this week<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/NateGeraci\/status\/1995300310227501522?s=20\">post<\/a> by Nate Geraci on X (formerly Twitter), Grayscale updated its LINK Trust S-1 as they gear up to launch the first spot Chainlink ETF.<\/p>\n<p>The firm will be aiming to convert this private fund into an ETF, which will be debuting this week.<\/p>\n<p>The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) gave a green light, and this could ignite social buzz on the altcoin. Liquidity and capital inflow were expected to rise once the ETF debuted due to institutional demand.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_550296\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-550296\" style=\"width: 1062px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-550296 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T.jpeg\" alt=\"Chainlink ETF\" width=\"1062\" height=\"576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T.jpeg 1062w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T-300x163.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T-1024x555.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7C7DuCXUAEx88T-768x417.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1062px) 100vw, 1062px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-550296\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Nate Geraci<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The Chainlink ETF exposes traditional investors to the oracle platform, which means more demand. However, this was happening against the backdrop of a weak crypto in terms of activity and price action.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Data says December could be red!<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On-chain data was showing weakness as the Total Value Secured (TVS) fell from $103.21 billion to $80.5 billion in only three months.<\/p>\n<p>These deposits accounted for borrowed and smart contracts by all its oracles, <a href=\"https:\/\/metrics.chain.link\/#totalValueSecured\">per<\/a> Chainlink Metrics.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_550298\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-550298\" style=\"width: 875px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-094620.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-550298 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-094620.png\" alt=\"LINK\" width=\"875\" height=\"403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-094620.png 875w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-094620-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-094620-768x354.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 875px) 100vw, 875px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-550298\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Chainlink Metrics<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The market consumed this declining network activity, but <a href=\"https:\/\/img.cryptorank.io\/snapshots\/f61717ecca279e0188afdca7.png\">historical data<\/a> suggested that LINK was more likely to have another red month.<\/p>\n<p>Using the data since its debut in 2017, LINK has more than 60% of closing in red in December. Only three instances have been green in its LINK&#8217;s existence.<\/p>\n<p>Again, every time November had closed red, the next month also had a similar outcome, except for Chainlink&#8217;s first year.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_550300\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-550300\" style=\"width: 1124px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-550300 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833.png\" alt=\"LINK\" width=\"1124\" height=\"520\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833.png 1124w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833-1024x474.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Screenshot-2025-12-01-093833-768x355.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1124px) 100vw, 1124px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-550300\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CoinRank<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Worsening the situation was the fact that LINK had been in a consistent decline since September.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Chainlink crashes 10%: Is more coming?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The hourly charts showed an extension of LINK&#8217;s fragility. This followed a 10% crash when the broader market was in a fall after massive liquidations. Price broke below an ascending trendline prior to this crash.<\/p>\n<p>On the 12-hour chart, Ali Charts <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1995342591995298252?s=20\">noted<\/a> that Chainlink could be retesting the breakdown from the rising channel. The trend channel has been in play since July 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst backed this continued price crash for December, as he predicted LINK could reach $8.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_550301\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-550301\" style=\"width: 1623px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-550301 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14.png\" alt=\"LINK\" width=\"1623\" height=\"770\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14.png 1623w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14-1024x486.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14-768x364.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14-1536x729.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/LINKUSDT_2025-12-01_09-51-14-1200x569.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1623px) 100vw, 1623px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-550301\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, the new social buzz around the launch of Chainlink ETF by Grayscale this week could change this outlook.<\/p>\n<p>The capital inflow and liquidity from ETF hype could mitigate price decline, which is already 6% on the first day of the month.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><strong>Final Thoughts<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><em>GrayScale aims to convert its LINK trust into an ETF amid this week&#8217;s debut.\u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Chainlink was more likely to close in red for December unless the ETF hype mitigated this risk.\u00a0<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is the Chainlink ETF hype enough to reverse the 60% odds of a red December?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":550323,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,6380,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-550290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-chainlink-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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