{"id":519744,"date":"2025-08-18T21:30:18","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T16:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=519744"},"modified":"2025-08-18T17:12:33","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T11:42:33","slug":"will-stellar-xlm-drop-to-0-378-after-bearish-breakdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/will-stellar-xlm-drop-to-0-378-after-bearish-breakdown\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Stellar [XLM] drop to $0.378 after bearish breakdown?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><b>Key Takeaways<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stellar breaks below bearish flag and targets $0.378 as Futures CVD shows strong sell-side dominance, while negative Funding Rates and rising long liquidations confirm mounting bearish momentum.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/stellar-price-prediction\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stellar [XLM]<\/span><\/a> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">recently broke down from a bearish flag pattern, signaling growing downside pressure across the market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analyst projections now highlight $0.378 as the next key level, showing that sellers have regained momentum after weeks of consolidation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the time of writing, Stellar traded at $0.4075 after dropping more than 5% in the past 24 hours.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This renewed selling pressure is now testing investor conviction as broader sentiment continues to deteriorate.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The breakdown coincides with heavy sell orders and increased volatility in derivatives markets, confirming that bears currently control short-term momentum.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_519747\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-519747\" style=\"width: 2367px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-519747\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2367\" height=\"1649\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW.jpeg 2367w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-300x209.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-1024x713.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-768x535.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-1536x1070.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-2048x1427.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/GynT2ZoXUAAn2EW-1200x836.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2367px) 100vw, 2367px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-519747\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1957332886400463060\">X\/Ali Charts<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><b>Why does XLM Futures CVD signal?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) reveals persistent taker sell dominance, which shows that traders are aggressively hitting the sell side of the order book.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This indicator reflects strong pressure from market participants closing long exposure and favoring bearish positioning.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the consistent sell volume highlights a significant shift in trading behavior, weakening any potential recovery attempts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The sustained CVD decline emphasizes that downward momentum is not merely technical but supported by futures market flows.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consequently, buyers face increasing difficulty in regaining short-term control as sellers dictate price direction with consistent force.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_519751\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-519751\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-519751\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-Futures-Taker-CVDCumulative-Volume-Delta-90-day-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-519751\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/asset\/xlm\/chart\/market-indicator\/futures-taker-cvdcumulative-volume-delta-90-day?window=DAY\">CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><b>XLM: Bearish outlook adds weight<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Funding Rates on Binance and other exchanges have flipped negative at 0.009%, signaling traders\u2019 willingness to pay funding to hold short positions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sustained negative rates reveal that sentiment has shifted firmly in favor of downside speculation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This bearish tilt confirms growing conviction among derivatives traders that Stellar\u2019s decline has more room to extend lower.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, extremely negative Funding Rates can sometimes trigger short squeezes, although current levels remain within a moderate range.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For now, the persistence of these negative values reflects broader market caution, adding further weight to the bearish case in the short term.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_519752\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-519752\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-519752\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"867\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-2048x693.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.43.24-18-Aug-2025-1200x406.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-519752\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/app.santiment.net\/charts\/k_XulqTM__sCl\">Santiment<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><b>What does sentiment reveal after the July surge?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weighted Sentiment for Stellar showed a sharp spike in mid-July, which briefly lifted optimism to its highest level in months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, sentiment has since collapsed into negative territory at -0.266, reflecting disappointment among traders and holders as bearish signals grow stronger.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This decline demonstrates that enthusiasm from earlier rallies has faded, leaving confidence fragile.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the psychological backdrop now aligns with technical weakness, making it difficult for bulls to rebuild momentum.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overall, weak sentiment suggests that market participants expect further declines rather than a swift rebound, reinforcing the cautious narrative around Stellar.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_519749\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-519749\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-519749\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"867\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-2048x693.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Stellar-XLM-13.04.01-18-Aug-2025-1200x406.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-519749\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/app.santiment.net\/charts\/k_XulqTM__sCl\">Santiment<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><b>Long liquidations intensify Stellar&#8217;s decline<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Liquidation data highlights a notable imbalance between long and short positions, with long liquidations dominating recent sessions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This means leveraged traders betting on the upside<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have been forced out, further pressuring prices.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At one point, liquidations against longs exceeded $700,000 compared to minimal short losses at only $1.62k. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the impact of liquidation cascades has amplified downward moves, intensifying selling momentum in a fragile market environment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The trend confirms that traders holding bullish bets are increasingly vulnerable, while bearish positions remain resilient.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Consequently, liquidations continue to serve as a reinforcing mechanism for Stellar\u2019s current downturn.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_519753\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-519753\" style=\"width: 2090px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-519753\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2090\" height=\"591\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622.png 2090w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-300x85.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-1024x290.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-768x217.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-1536x434.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-2048x579.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-18-130622-1200x339.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2090px) 100vw, 2090px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-519753\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/currencies\/XLM\">CoinGlass<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><b>Will Stellar slide toward $0.378?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stellar faces mounting bearish signals, with Futures sell dominance, negative Funding Rates, weak sentiment, and long liquidations aligning against bulls.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the technical breakdown from the flag pattern appears well-supported by on-chain and derivatives data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unless buying volume emerges strongly, the probability of Stellar extending losses toward $0.378 remains high.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stellar\u2019s bearish flag breakdown and negative Funding Rates signal a potential decline toward $0.378.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":519761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-519744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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