{"id":490291,"date":"2025-05-11T20:30:28","date_gmt":"2025-05-11T15:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=490291"},"modified":"2025-05-11T16:32:26","modified_gmt":"2025-05-11T11:02:26","slug":"bitcoin-bulls-beware-this-price-could-be-a-high-leverage-trap-door","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-bulls-beware-this-price-could-be-a-high-leverage-trap-door\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin bulls beware! &#8211; THIS price could be a high-leverage trap door"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin\u2019s current setup carries both promise and peril.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Is BTC flashing another bull trap, or is this the setup for a full-blown squeeze?.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> to stay in bull mode, it needs to crush those overhead resistance levels. Otherwise, as AMBCrypto pointed out, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/are-bitcoin-and-ethereum-about-to-suffer-a-liquidation-nightmare-assessing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shorts are already circling<\/a>, waiting to feast on any sign of weakness.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But reclaiming those high-value price nodes won\u2019t be a cakewalk.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Historically, breakout euphoria tends to bait weak hands into early profit-taking, giving bears the perfect setup for a downside liquidity sweep.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now, with BTC knocking on the door of its late-January highs around $106,249, the setup is eerily familiar. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">Is <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">this <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">the <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">beginning <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">of <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">yet <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">another <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">well-<\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">engineered <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">bull <\/span><span class=\"_fadeIn_m1hgl_8\">trap?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Spotlighting Bitcoin&#8217;s STH cohort<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since Bitcoin tore through the $93k barrier, the STH MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) ratio has been steadily climbing, with short-term holders (&gt; 155 days) pocketing a cool +10% on their positions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In layman\u2019s terms, these short-term players are sitting on unrealized profits, with their entry points comfortably below BTC\u2019s current market value.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_490341\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-490341\" style=\"width: 3200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-490341 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin MVRV\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/glassnode-studio_btc-short-term-holder-mvrv-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 3200px) 100vw, 3200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-490341\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Looking back at the previous cycle, we saw the STH MVRV peak when BTC tapped $98,154 on the 21st of November.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the rally didn\u2019t stop there. Bitcoin continued to inch its way to the $106k mark over the next month, absorbing the pressure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But here\u2019s where things went south. The bid-side support couldn&#8217;t hold the line, as these STHs flooded the market with liquidity, sending the NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss) into deep red territory.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This liquidity dump triggered a market reset, with BTC ultimately closing at $76,270 by early April.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Are the bears ready to roar again?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/pro\/futures\/Cryptofutures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coinglass data<\/a> is flashing a cautionary signal: Open Interest (OI) in Bitcoin derivatives has surged back to $66 billion, mirroring the levels seen when BTC was flirting with the $104k range last Q4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s a high-stakes game.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_490361\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-490361\" style=\"width: 1423px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-490361 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305.png\" alt=\"OI\" width=\"1423\" height=\"432\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305.png 1423w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305-300x91.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305-1024x311.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305-768x233.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-11-150305-1200x364.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1423px) 100vw, 1423px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-490361\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Coinglass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With price action testing historical ceilings, short-term holders sitting on decent gains, and Open Interest heating up, the ingredients for volatility are all in place.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The next few days might just decide whether Bitcoin&#8217;s rally has real legs &#8211; or if it\u2019s just another bull trap in disguise.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Can Bitcoin bulls front-run STH capitulation this time?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":113,"featured_media":490301,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-490291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin bulls beware! 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