{"id":482294,"date":"2025-04-13T13:30:58","date_gmt":"2025-04-13T08:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=482294"},"modified":"2025-04-13T10:59:25","modified_gmt":"2025-04-13T05:29:25","slug":"solana-traders-alert-uncovering-the-risks-beneath-the-30-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/solana-traders-alert-uncovering-the-risks-beneath-the-30-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Solana traders alert! &#8211; Uncovering the risks beneath the 30% rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Solana climbed to $125, but whale exits and dense supply zones near $140 raised the risk of a long squeeze.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The recent bounce looked more like a temporary relief rally.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/solana-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Solana\u2019s[SOL]<\/a> recent recovery to $120, large holders remain deep in the red, which affects the overall market sentiment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1910732383760031955?t=9Y7MKg0p1iW9UMxdXY3-mw&amp;s=19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">On-chain data<\/a> shows a major whale recently liquidated 274,188 SOL at an average price of $108. With an initial cost basis of $148, this capitulation locked in a staggering $11 million in realized losses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even with SOL now hovering around $125, marking a 30% bounce from its April 7 low of $95, the whale would still be underwater.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This behavior reflects continued distribution among smart money, as whales use liquidity spikes to exit rather than accumulate. For retail traders, it\u2019s a caution flag amid a fragile macro and on-chain backdrop.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Key supply zone in focus\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) provides a granular breakdown of where Solana coins were last transacted and mapped against price levels.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For SOL, the data highlights three major supply clusters \u2013 around $100, $120, and $140. These concentrations indicate that a significant share of the circulating supply was acquired at these levels.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among them, the $140 zone stands out, with over 27.8 million SOL concentrated there, accounting for approximately 4.75% of the total circulating supply. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This cluster represents a key area of resistance, as many holders are either near breakeven or facing unrealized losses.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_482305\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-482305\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-482305 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned.png\" alt=\"Solana URPD \" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/glassnode-studio_sol-utxo-realized-price-distribution-urpd-ath-partitioned-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-482305\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the risk of <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/solana-whale-offloads-10-7m-in-sol-from-192m-vault-are-investors-on-edge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">whale-driven sell-offs<\/a> remains if SOL fails to reclaim the $140 level. A price move back to this threshold could lead to holders shifting into unrealized profits, potentially triggering a bullish rotation driven by FOMO and market greed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Additionally, 38 million SOL remain clustered between $117 and $120, making this range a potential hotspot for profit-taking as price breaks this ceiling.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a result, until the $140 level is tested, price volatility in Solana&#8217;s price action is likely to persist.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Futures data reinforces Solana\u2019s market outlook<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Solana\u2019s 7.07% daily upswing positions it as the leading top-tier asset in terms of recovery velocity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This rally isn\u2019t just spot-driven \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/currencies\/SOL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Derivatives data<\/a> confirms aggressive positioning. Open Interest (OI) jumped 13.89% to $5.23 billion, signaling a fresh wave of leveraged exposure entering the market.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At first glance, this appears bullish. However, it also introduces fragility. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The whale distribution was still active, and Short-Term Holders (3\u20136 months) are still deep in the <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/charts\/indicators.NuplLess155?a=SOL&amp;zoom=all\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">capitulation zone<\/a>. Plus, the recent breach of a high-density supply zone ($117\u2013$120) sets the stage for elevated liquidation risk.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_482321\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-482321\" style=\"width: 1835px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-482321 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39.png\" alt=\"SOL price\" width=\"1835\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39.png 1835w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39-300x129.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39-1024x439.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39-768x329.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39-1536x658.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/SOLUSDT_2025-04-12_19-39-39-1200x514.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1835px) 100vw, 1835px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-482321\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView (SOL\/USDT)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Should <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/solana-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Solana<\/a> fail to sustain momentum, a cascading long squeeze could trigger sharp downside volatility, particularly as funding rates start skewing positive.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In short, while the recent bounce has sparked optimism, this rally bears hallmarks of a liquidity-driven relief phase\u2014not a confirmed trend reversal. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Until Solana reclaims and holds above the $140 supply zone with conviction, downside risk remains firmly on the table.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Solana&#8217;s rally stalls below $140, with whale exits and clustered resistance flashing red flags.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":113,"featured_media":482309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,66,3,4,6376,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-482294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-altcoins-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-solana-news","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Solana traders alert! 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