{"id":469625,"date":"2025-02-23T23:30:39","date_gmt":"2025-02-23T18:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=469625"},"modified":"2025-02-23T14:43:05","modified_gmt":"2025-02-23T09:13:05","slug":"bitcoin-short-term-holders-panic-sell-how-will-this-affect-btcs-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-short-term-holders-panic-sell-how-will-this-affect-btcs-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin short-term holders panic-sell &#8211; How will this affect BTC&#8217;s future?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><em>BTC <span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">STHs may have panic-sold<\/span><span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">\u00a0in reaction to the recent news about the Bybit hack.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Analysis of the 90-Day Active Supply reflected a notable decline in recent months.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In the past 24 hours, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> experienced notable volatility. Short-Term Holders (STHs) realized substantial losses, likely driven by panic-selling following the Bybit hack news.<\/p>\n<p>Also, over the past 16 hours, BTC\u2019s 4-hour chart on Binance showed significant bearish indicators.<\/p>\n<p>The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cross displayed a bearish crossover, with the 9-period EMA dropping below the 26-period EMA around hour 14, signaling short-term downward momentum.<\/p>\n<p>This aligned with BTC\u2019s price decline to $96,259.9, marking a -0.12% drop from the previous period.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_469629\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-469629\" style=\"width: 1007px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-469629 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1007\" height=\"604\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis.png 1007w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis-1000x600.png 1000w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis-590x354.png 590w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/best-BYC-price-analysis-400x240.png 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1007px) 100vw, 1007px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-469629\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 46.05, reflecting a neutral but slightly bearish outlook.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">This RSI level suggested that BTC remained in a consolidation phase, with no clear overbought or oversold conditions.\u00a0If it rebounds above 50, bullish sentiment might return, supporting price recovery.<\/p>\n<p>Also, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) showed a net volume delta of -94.67K, reflecting strong selling pressure in the last 8 hours.<\/p>\n<p>These signals collectively pointed to capitulation, where STHs offloaded BTC, potentially forming a short-term local bottom as selling pressure diminished.<\/p>\n<h2>Panic selling peaks: What is the turning point?<\/h2>\n<p>The Short-Term Holder Profit &amp; Loss (P&amp;L) to Exchanges Sum chart for the last 24 hours also highlighted significant losses among STHs.<\/p>\n<p>The dominance of red bars, peaking at -43.9K BTC, indicated heavy panic-selling around $90K to $95K following the Bybit hack news.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_469628\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-469628\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-scaled.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-469628 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-scaled.jpeg 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-2048x1152.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Short-term-holder-P-and-L-1200x675.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-469628\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The STH profit line remained minimal, reinforcing the idea that few short-term traders saw gains. Similar trends occurred in early 2022, where high realized losses preceded short-term price recoveries.<\/p>\n<p>This data suggested a potential local bottom, as distressed selling often exhausts downward momentum, creating a possible buying window for traders.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC\u2019s liquidity shift<\/h2>\n<p>Analysis of the 90-Day Active Supply chart for BTC, covering 2012 to 2025, reflected a notable decline in recent months. As of early 2025, active supply hovered around 4M BTC, down from 6M BTC in late 2024.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_469613\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-469613\" style=\"width: 900px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gkb9A0HWwAA2JiL.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-469613 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gkb9A0HWwAA2JiL.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"900\" height=\"506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gkb9A0HWwAA2JiL.jpg 900w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gkb9A0HWwAA2JiL-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gkb9A0HWwAA2JiL-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-469613\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Alphractal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This metric, indicated a decline in trading activity. Normally, rising active supply suggests higher demand and bullish sentiment, while declines signal distribution and reduced interest.<\/p>\n<p>The current trend implied STHs had largely exited, potentially reducing selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>This pattern mirrored 2018, when declining active supply preceded price stabilization, supporting the capitulation hypothesis and reinforcing short-term bottom formation.<\/p>\n<h2>A sign of strength or further decline?<\/h2>\n<p>Deep analysis showed that BTC netflow chart for aggregated exchanges over the last three months revealed a sharp net outflow of -546.11 BTC in the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p>This was a significant reversal from the previous week\u2019s +226.57 BTC average inflows, and the 30-day average of +1.29K BTC inflows.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_469641\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-469641\" style=\"width: 1190px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-469641 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1190\" height=\"423\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC.png 1190w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC-300x107.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC-1024x364.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/total-net-flow-for-BTC-768x273.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1190px) 100vw, 1190px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-469641\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: IntoTheBlock<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A sudden negative netflow typically indicates that holders are withdrawing BTC to off-exchange wallets, suggesting reduced selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>This pattern resembled mid-2021, when large BTC outflows preceded price rebounds. Additionally, the 24-hour netflow change of +269.71 BTC suggested renewed buying interest.<\/p>\n<p>In conclusion, Capitulation events, such as heavy short-term holder losses and declining exchange netflows, historically precede short-term recoveries.<\/p>\n<p>While short-term volatility remains, long-term indicators suggest a potential shift toward recovery as selling pressure subsides.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s sharp decline following the Bybit hack triggered short-term holder capitulation, signaling a potential local bottom.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":106,"featured_media":469656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427],"class_list":["post-469625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin short-term holders panic-sell - How will this affect BTC&#039;s future? 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