{"id":427366,"date":"2024-09-27T00:30:50","date_gmt":"2024-09-26T19:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=427366"},"modified":"2024-09-26T17:07:34","modified_gmt":"2024-09-26T11:37:34","slug":"bitcoin-why-new-investor-confidence-could-drive-prices-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-why-new-investor-confidence-could-drive-prices-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Why new investor confidence could drive prices higher\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Bitcoin investors are showing more resilience compared to past bearish trend.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">New Bitcoin investors are sitting on minimal losses as BTC holds levels above $60,000.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoins-risk-dynamics-safe-haven-or-speculative-bet\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has made a solid recovery since the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 0.5% drop in interest rates.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Recently, BTC reached a five-week high above $64,000, and while it has since retreated to trade at $63,685 at press time, bullish signs continue to emerge.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Per <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/insights.glassnode.com\/the-week-onchain-week-39-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Glassnode<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, traders who bought Bitcoin in the last 155 days or less are showing a higher \u201cdegree of resilience\u201d compared to past market cycles.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>New Bitcoin investor behavior\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-term Bitcoin holders tend to cause short-term price volatility as they are more reactive to price movements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> In the last five months, BTC prices have oscillated between $71,000 and $49,000, suggesting that a significant number of new investors who purchased at the high prices are underwater.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the New Investors Confidence in Trend metric by Glassnode, short-term holders are showing confidence and deviating from previous patterns where they tend to panic during bearish trends.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The reason behind this shift in sentiment is that the magnitude of losses suffered by this group has been relatively low.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_427372\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-427372\" style=\"width: 1675px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-427372\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1675\" height=\"846\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors.png 1675w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors-1024x517.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors-768x388.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors-1536x776.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Glassnode-new-investors-1200x606.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1675px) 100vw, 1675px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-427372\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A look at the Bitcoin Realized Price by Age Bands on CryptoQuant also shows that traders who have held BTC for not more than three months have been above their purchasing price since prices crossed above $61,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Additionally, those who have held Bitcoin for 3\u20136 months will break even once the price crosses $66,500. This data further shows that short-term holder losses are minimal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_427374\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-427374\" style=\"width: 4000px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-427374\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"4000\" height=\"2250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Realized-Price-UTXO-Age-Bands-1-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4000px) 100vw, 4000px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-427374\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Per an <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-short-term-holders-hold-the-key-to-70k-heres-why\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">earlier analysis<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by AMBCrypto, short-term holder profitability could be the key to BTC breaking above $70,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Shift in the Futures market<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bitcoin Futures markets showed an uptick in activity. Since BTC broke above $60,000 on 17th September, Funding Rates have spiked, and have been predominantly positive.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This means that long traders betting on further price increases have outnumbered short sellers. These traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain their long positions, which shows bullish sentiment.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_427375\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-427375\" style=\"width: 4000px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-427375 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"4000\" height=\"2250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bitcoin-Funding-Rates-All-Exchanges-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4000px) 100vw, 4000px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-427375\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/LongShortRatio\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coinglass <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">further shows a bullish bias as long traders dominate. <\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Read <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\">Bitcoin&#8217;s [BTC] Price Prediction<\/a> 2024\u20132025<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At press time, 52% of traders held long positions while 47% were holding short positions, indicating that fewer traders are predicting that the prices will drop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The positive sentiment is also seen in the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/alternative.me\/crypto\/fear-and-greed-index\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> which has recovered from a state of fear to neutral, further shedding light on market confidence.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since Bitcoin broke above $60,000, Funding Rates have spiked, and have been predominantly positive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":427387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427,6428],"class_list":["post-427366","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto","tag-new-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - 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