{"id":423220,"date":"2024-09-14T10:30:04","date_gmt":"2024-09-14T05:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=423220"},"modified":"2024-09-14T11:09:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-14T05:39:18","slug":"bitcoin-what-do-global-m2-patterns-have-to-say-about-btcs-next-bull-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-what-do-global-m2-patterns-have-to-say-about-btcs-next-bull-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin &#8211; What do Global M2 patterns have to say about BTC&#8217;s next bull cycle?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><em>Global m2 money supply has turned positive.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Historical patterns indicate BTC might be set to surge on the charts now<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a>, the world&#8217;s leading cryptocurrency, continues to flash uncertainty among traders, whales, and institutions. Especially as the market waits for better conditions in the final quarter of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, Bitcoin has surged whenever the global M2 money supply has increased. Now, with the global M2 turning positive, traders are anticipating a potential bull run. One similar to those seen in late October 2023 and early January 2024, following which BTC hit new all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, BTC\/USDT seemed to be correcting in a bullish flag pattern. Another BTC surge could be on the horizon, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut being key.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_423232\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-423232\" style=\"width: 1520px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-423232 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1520\" height=\"828\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW.png 1520w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW-1024x558.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW-768x418.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSptVOXcAAUVLW-1200x654.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1520px) 100vw, 1520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-423232\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Seth Fin\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A 25 basis point cut seems likely. However, in financial markets, large moves need to settle before becoming apparent.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin trading back at mid range<\/h2>\n<p>At press time, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">BTC<\/a> was trading near the middle of its price range within a descending trend channel.<\/p>\n<p>A breakout to the upside could lead to a push towards the top of the channel and a potential breakout. The lower boundary sat at $51k, while the upper resistance was at $66k.<\/p>\n<p>Now, although BTC seemed to be consolidating, its strength remains evident. Especially since bears have been unable to break the lower trendline.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_423234\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-423234\" style=\"width: 1277px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-423234 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1277\" height=\"805\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B.jpg 1277w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B-1024x646.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B-768x484.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXQnciWXcAAuY0B-1200x756.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1277px) 100vw, 1277px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-423234\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>If Bitcoin breaks the upper trendline and stays above it, BTC\u2019s price could see a significant rally, potentially pushing it new highs. This can be supported by the global M2 versus Bitcoin price chart.<\/p>\n<h2>MVRV z-score highlights low unrealized profits<\/h2>\n<p>The MVRV z-score, a key indicator of market sentiment, had a reading of around 1.9 at press time. This suggested that BTC has been gradually declining while the network\u2019s average on-chain cost basis has risen.<\/p>\n<p>By extension, this means there are low unrealized profits in the market, leaving more room for upward movement.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, whenever the MVRV z-score has been at these levels, Bitcoin has noted significant uptrends. The case studies of 2012, 2020, and 2023 are good examples.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_423235\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-423235\" style=\"width: 1308px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-423235 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1308\" height=\"736\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb.jpg 1308w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXUPXkrWkAA8Evb-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1308px) 100vw, 1308px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-423235\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Addresses with more than 0.1 Bitcoin near ATH<\/h2>\n<p>Additionally, the number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 0.1 BTC is nearing a new all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>This means that long-term holders, often referred to as &#8220;strong hands,&#8221; are accumulating Bitcoin, supporting the case for higher BTC prices.<\/p>\n<p>As more strong hands buy BTC, it strengthens the market. This increases the likelihood of an upward trend on the charts.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_423228\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-423228\" style=\"width: 2500px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-423228 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1680\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq.png 2500w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-1024x688.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-768x516.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-1536x1032.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-2048x1376.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXTt4CgWcAAczCq-1200x806.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-423228\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source; Bitcoin Magazine PRO<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Bitcoin&#8217;s short-term holder net position change<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Finally, Bitcoin\u2019s short-term holder net position change revealed that many recent buyers, who entered during the last &#8220;fear of missing out&#8221; (FOMO) spike, are now leaving.<\/p>\n<p>This is often a sign of market capitulation, signaling a potential bottom. When short-term holders capitulate, it often precedes a BTC price surge.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_423226\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-423226\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-423226 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GXSawPhWoAA3YgA-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-423226\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In conclusion, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin\u2019s price<\/a> is poised for potential growth. With strong on-chain metrics and historical trends favoring an uptrend, BTC could see a significant rally if global market conditions improve and the Federal Reserve implements a rate cut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is the world&#8217;s leading cryptocurrency ready for a new rally?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":423314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[6427,6425],"class_list":["post-423220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view","tag-ambcrypto","tag-featured"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin \u2013 What do Global M2 patterns say about BTC\u2019s next bull cycle?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Whenever the global M2 money supply increases, it has consequently resulted in a Bitcoin price surge. 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