{"id":405354,"date":"2024-07-09T06:00:04","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T00:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=405354"},"modified":"2024-07-08T17:16:24","modified_gmt":"2024-07-08T11:46:24","slug":"can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Bitcoin hit a new ATH before 2024 ends? There\u2019s a 25% chance"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><em>Bitcoin is predicted to rebound above $50k by October, with a 60% likelihood.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Peterson also sees a 25% chance of Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high within the same period.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> was trading back above $57,000 at press time, marking a significant recovery from last week&#8217;s sharp decline that brought it down to $53,000\u2014a price point last observed in February. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This resurgence is particularly noteworthy, given the early signs today of a continuing downtrend, with Bitcoin hitting a 24-hour low of $54,320.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In light of recent fluctuations, Timothy Peterson, a respected Bitcoin analyst and economist, has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nsquaredvalue\/status\/1810175323692302597\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">provided<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> an optimistic forecast for the cryptocurrency&#8217;s trajectory heading into the fourth quarter of 2024. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Peterson suggested a robust return of bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, particularly noting the importance of its performance in the upcoming months.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Analyzing Bitcoin&#8217;s potential surge<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Peterson&#8217;s analysis presented a promising outlook for Bitcoin enthusiasts and investors. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He argued that if Bitcoin can close July above the $50,000 threshold, there&#8217;s a substantial likelihood of the cryptocurrency maintaining or exceeding this level well into October.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to his statistical model, following a 25% drawdown from its all-time high (ATH), there&#8217;s a 60% chance that Bitcoin&#8217;s price will climb higher within the next three months.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_405359\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-405359\" style=\"width: 1194px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-405359 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32.png\" alt=\"Source: Timothy Peterson \" width=\"1194\" height=\"970\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32.png 1194w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32-300x244.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32-1024x832.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.34.32-768x624.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1194px) 100vw, 1194px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-405359\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Timothy Peterson<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Peterson posited that there was a 25% probability that Bitcoin could set a new ATH within this timeframe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The potential for Bitcoin to hit $100,000, while less likely, still stands at a notable 10% chance, adding excitement to the mix of forecasts and speculations swirling around the asset&#8217;s future.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Is BTC ready for the potential surge?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beyond predictions, Bitcoin&#8217;s fundamentals provided insights into its capacity to achieve these optimistic targets. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/santimentfeed\/status\/1809368159830568964\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from market intelligence platform Santiment showed that wallets holding over 10,000 BTC have significantly benefited from the recent market volatility.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Over the past six weeks, these large-scale holders have increased their holdings by 12,450 BTC.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_405360\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-405360\" style=\"width: 1194px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-405360 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30.png\" alt=\"Source: Santiment\" width=\"1194\" height=\"1207\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30.png 1194w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30-297x300.png 297w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30-1013x1024.png 1013w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30-768x776.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30-80x80.png 80w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-08-at-11.36.30-100x100.png 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1194px) 100vw, 1194px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-405360\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Santiment<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This accumulation, representing a 1.05% increase in the total Bitcoin supply held, indicated strong confidence among major investors and could be a bullish signal for the market. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Such movements often suggest that large holders, potentially including exchange liquidity providers, anticipated higher prices or more significant market shifts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Additionally, Bitcoin\u2019s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio, which was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/asset\/btc\/chart\/network-indicator\/nvt-ratio?window=DAY&amp;sma=0&amp;ema=0&amp;priceScale=log&amp;metricScale=log&amp;chartStyle=line\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">36.1<\/span><\/a> at press time<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, provided further clues about the cryptocurrency&#8217;s valuation. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The NVT ratio, by comparing market cap to the volume of transactions on the blockchain, helps assess whether the coin is overvalued or undervalued.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_405363\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-405363\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-405363 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin NVT Ratio\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-405363\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Read\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin\u2019s [BTC] Price Prediction<\/a>\u00a02024-25<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A lower NVT ratio typically indicates that the network is healthy and transactions are high relative to the market cap, suggesting the asset is undervalued and potentially poised for a price increase.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> As for the short-term forecast, AMBCrypto has <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-range-formation-ahead-heres-how-you-can-navigate-it\/\">reported<\/a> that Bitcoin does not have enough demand in the short term to sustain a rally beyond $60k.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has predicted that Bitcoin has a 60% chance of trading high in coming months and 25% chance to hit a new peak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":89,"featured_media":405401,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-405354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can Bitcoin Hit New ATH Before 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New Analysis Says There\u2019s a 25% Chance","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/BTC-SAM-2.jpg","datePublished":"2024-07-09T00:30:04+00:00","description":"Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has predicted that Bitcoin has a 60% chance of trading high in coming months and 25% chance to hit a new peak.","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/can-bitcoin-hit-a-new-ath-before-2024-ends-theres-a-25-chance\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/BTC-SAM-2.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/BTC-SAM-2.jpg","width":1792,"height":1024,"caption":"Can Bitcoin hit a new ATH before 2024 ends? There\u2019s a 25% chance"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/","name":"AMBCrypto","description":"Stay Ahead!","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#organization"},"alternateName":"AMBCrypto News","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#organization","name":"AMBCrypto","alternateName":"AMBCrypto News","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/amb-wide.jpg","width":600,"height":60,"caption":"AMBCrypto"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoamb","https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoAmb","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/13629485\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cde2c3c2ed19c1fbe68d20b279b10d26","name":"Samuel Edyme","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Image_20240430_103130_537-e1714473389562-100x100.jpeg","url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Image_20240430_103130_537-e1714473389562-100x100.jpeg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Image_20240430_103130_537-e1714473389562-100x100.jpeg","caption":"Samuel Edyme"},"description":"Samuel Edyme works as a freelance cryptocurrency journalist, with a special focus on market analyses and the real-world implications of the nascent crypto-market.","sameAs":["https:\/\/ng.linkedin.com\/in\/edyme","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/x.com\/0xEdyme"],"url":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/author\/samuel-edyme\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/405354","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/89"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=405354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/405354\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/405401"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=405354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=405354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=405354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}