{"id":402723,"date":"2024-06-28T12:30:14","date_gmt":"2024-06-28T07:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=402723"},"modified":"2024-06-28T09:21:26","modified_gmt":"2024-06-28T03:51:26","slug":"bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin holders should brace for a rally if THESE conditions change"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><em>Bitcoin has reached a fork in the road- recovery, or an extended accumulation phase.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>The long-term holders were slow in buying BTC despite the recent drops, a reticence that could spell trouble.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> continued to cling to the $61k support. News of BTC miners moving to Kaspa [KAS] might trigger more fear in the market, a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/as-bitcoin-miners-move-to-kaspa-kas-will-btc-fall-even-more\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AMBCrypto report<\/a> revealed.<\/p>\n<p>An analyst claimed that miners selling their assets to upgrade their hardware after the halving or for cash needs might not <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-these-miners-no-longer-matter-to-the-price-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">impact the market<\/a> as heavily as anticipated.<\/p>\n<p>So, are BTC holders ready for prices to rally? Or will the selling pressure continue from elsewhere?<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Lack of demand combined with long-term holder behavior caused worries<\/strong><\/h2>\n<figure id=\"attachment_402729\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-402729\" style=\"width: 656px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-etf-flows.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-402729 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-etf-flows.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin ETF Flows\" width=\"656\" height=\"910\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-etf-flows.png 656w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-etf-flows-216x300.png 216w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 656px) 100vw, 656px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-402729\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/farside.co.uk\/?p=997\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Farside Investors<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The ETF flows have been primarily negative in two weeks, with only the previous two days bringing some relief from the selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>This hinted at bearish sentiment for BTC from investors, but it is not yet clear whether that sentiment has begun to swing the other way or if this is a temporary respite before another wave of selling.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_402730\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-402730\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-402730 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin LTH Pessimism\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-LTH-pessimism-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-402730\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1806301258778640472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Axel Adler on X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Crypto analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Axel Adler<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1806301258778640472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">observed on X<\/a> (formerly Twitter) that the long-term holders&#8217; supply change was minimal in recent weeks. This lack of LTH growth was a sign of pessimism across the market.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Supply in profit turns back from overheated zone<\/strong><\/h2>\n<figure id=\"attachment_402732\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-402732\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-402732 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Supply in Profit\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-supply-in-profit-bands-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-402732\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1806242764100661453\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Axel Adler on X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The analyst also pointed out that the supply in profit was at an inflection point. The threshold of optimism\/pessimism had been reached.<\/p>\n<p>In the past four years, whenever the supply in profit line crossed below this point, the market would likely go toward an extended accumulation phase.<\/p>\n<p>This would be accompanied by a price drop and could dampen the bullish expectations that the market has for BTC after the halving in May.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_402731\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-402731\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-402731 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Spent Output Age Bands\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed.png 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-2048x1152.png 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/MD-4-BTC-cryptoquant-compressed-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-402731\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/asset\/btc\/chart\/network-indicator\/spent-output-age-bands-percent?window=DAY&amp;priceScale=log&amp;metricScale=linear&amp;from=1704047400000&amp;to=1719512999999&amp;img=link%2F667db041a3f5b8210d512848.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The spent output age bands showed that late May and mid-June saw large coin movements from the 7-10-year holders and 3-5-year holders respectively.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Read <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin&#8217;s [BTC] Price Prediction<\/a> 2024-25<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>This suggested that long-term holders were likely selling and was a sign of a lack of conviction.<\/p>\n<p>It does not guarantee further price downturns but it is a sign that the selling pressure has not receded yet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The change in supply held by long-term holders was minimal in recent weeks. This lack of LTH growth was a sign of pessimism across the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":402736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-402723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin holders should brace for a rally if THESE conditions change - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bitcoin long-term holder behavior did not inspire bullish confidence, and metrics signaled bulls must act quickly to halt further losses.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin holders should brace for a rally if THESE conditions change - AMBCrypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The change in supply held by long-term holders was minimal in recent weeks. This lack of LTH growth was a sign of pessimism across the market.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AMBCrypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoamb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-06-28T07:00:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Bitcoin-Featured-Image-4.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1792\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Akashnath S\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/twitter.com\/SAkashnath\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CryptoAmb\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Akashnath S\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"AnalysisNewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Akashnath S\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/26fe78e2620b888b1067a93dec3b5599\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin holders should brace for a rally if THESE conditions change\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-28T07:00:14+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":413,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/06\\\/Bitcoin-Featured-Image-4.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Bitcoin\",\"BTC Trading View\",\"News\",\"News 1\",\"Social\",\"Trading View\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2024\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-holders-should-brace-for-a-rally-if-these-conditions-change\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin holders should brace for a rally if THESE conditions change - 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