{"id":202474,"date":"2021-11-25T17:00:27","date_gmt":"2021-11-25T11:30:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=202474"},"modified":"2021-11-25T12:34:29","modified_gmt":"2021-11-25T07:04:29","slug":"bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin, Ethereum aren&#8217;t as volatile now, so what&#8217;s the panic about"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The anticipation of a mooning November has subsided over the past week or so. Consider this &#8211; Bitcoin\u2019s price maintained its range-bound momentum and <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/ethereum-news\/\">Ethereum<\/a> seemed to follow the king coin\u2019s move. <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>, at press time, was trading close to $56k while Ethereum slipped under the $4300-mark.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apart from the waning euphoria, the short-term market pressure could also be rising due to changing macroeconomic conditions. Notably, U.S. bond yields have been rising sharply over the past few weeks. In fact, the yield on the two-year note has risen from 0.24% in September to near 0.60%. Curiously, expectations around a possible interest rate hike have also increased.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not to forget, digital assets, especially crypto, are generally perceived as riskier assets. A higher &#8220;risk-free&#8221; rate of return could also reshuffle capital in financial markets, as pointed out by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/coinmetrics.substack.com\/p\/state-of-the-network-issue-130?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo0MTA1Njc1OCwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDQ0MzI0ODIsIl8iOiJvbnlvNSIsImlhdCI6MTYzNzc1MzcwNSwiZXhwIjoxNjM3NzU3MzA1LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNjI2OSIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.vWpj_BoEUYK9hqwm-QbPN1CfpOFmZtqhiZ8XngWzu9A\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CoinMetrics&#8217; data.<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> While most of the market has been riding a wave of volatility, it seems like relative volatility hasn\u2019t really taken over in this case yet.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Volatility is still not high?<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The markets looked rather turbulent with shaky price action and unexpected dips. Even then, volatility has still been relatively low for both Bitcoin and Ethereum on a historical basis. And, far from the highs measured earlier this year. The same could also be noted by using daily log returns on a 90-day rolling window.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_202476\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-202476\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-202476 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"706\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility-300x177.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility-1024x602.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/BTC_ETHvolatility-768x452.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-202476\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinmetrics.substack.com\/p\/state-of-the-network-issue-130?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo0MTA1Njc1OCwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDQ0MzI0ODIsIl8iOiJvbnlvNSIsImlhdCI6MTYzNzc1MzcwNSwiZXhwIjoxNjM3NzU3MzA1LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNjI2OSIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.vWpj_BoEUYK9hqwm-QbPN1CfpOFmZtqhiZ8XngWzu9A\">Source: Coin Metrics<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After a lower weekly close, BTC and ETH hit their lower support levels. BTC fell under $55k while ETH went as low as $3980 a few days ago. Notably, BTC\u2019s implied volatility, which presents the market&#8217;s forecast of a likely movement, had gone up and signaled higher expected volatility. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, its realized volatility continues to maintain more or less the same levels.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_202477\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-202477\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-202477 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rv-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-202477\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/analytics.skew.com\/dashboard\/bitcoin-options\">Source: Skew<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h4><b>This is how it could go&#8230;<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Looking at the supply and demand, many stablecoins are sitting on exchanges compared to BTC balances. Furthermore, institutional demand for ETF products has seen an increase too. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the contrary, 200k of $ETH had been deposited on central exchanges, presenting a short-term bearish narrative. Even so, outflows still dominated both the top coins&#8217; markets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Also, Bitcoin\u2019s percentage of the balance on exchanges hit 12.4% this month. After almost three and a half years, the metric fell back to this level. In fact, this all-time low level was last seen in February 2018. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the latest fall in this metric appears to be a macro-bullish trend, one that seemed to elicit for the top coin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_202479\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-202479\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-202479 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges.png 1800w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-percent-balance-on-exchanges-all-exchanges-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-202479\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/metrics?a=BTC&amp;category=&amp;m=distribution.BalanceExchangesRelative\">Source: Glassnode<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Open interest for BTC and ETH has been steadily increasing though, hitting fresh highs last week. In fact, with the Futures market looking over-leveraged as people shorted BTC, the market became more sensitive to small price movements. This could amplify volatility in the near term.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even so, the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio (72h MA) hit 91% &#8211; An indication that the top ten deposits took 91% of the deposit volume across all exchanges on the hourly timeframe. Not to forget, whale deposits are usually not a good sign for mid-short-term price action.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_202480\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-202480\" style=\"width: 1297px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-202480 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1297\" height=\"682\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1.png 1297w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1-300x158.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1-1024x538.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/whaleBTCcq-1-768x404.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1297px) 100vw, 1297px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-202480\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/quicktake\/619ca8c9bbc9020b8fe5c78e-Whales-are-depositing-BTC-to-exchanges\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For Bitcoin, certain metrics seem to be logging weak bullish indicators. This can mark the early stages of bull runs with sustained accumulation. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, with the price action looking uncertain alongside some bearish signals, nothing can be said with certainty at this point.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The anticipation of a mooning November has subsided over the past week or so. Consider this &#8211; Bitcoin\u2019s price maintained its range-bound momentum and Ethereum seemed to follow the king coin\u2019s move. Bitcoin, at press time, was trading close to $56k while Ethereum slipped under the $4300-mark.\u00a0 Apart from the waning euphoria, the short-term market<a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Bitcoin, Ethereum aren&#8217;t as volatile now, so what&#8217;s the panic about&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":202475,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,32,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-202474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-ethereum-news","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin, Ethereum aren&#039;t as volatile now, so what&#039;s the panic about - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Consider this - Bitcoin\u2019s price maintained its range-bound momentum and Ethereum seemed to follow the king coin\u2019s move...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin, Ethereum aren&#039;t as volatile now, so what&#039;s the panic about - AMBCrypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The anticipation of a mooning November has subsided over the past week or so. Consider this - Bitcoin\u2019s price maintained its range-bound momentum and\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AMBCrypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cryptoamb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-11-25T11:30:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/bitcoin-g8cdaf8db1_1920-e1637817193519.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Varuni Trivedi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/twitter.com\/varuni_trivedi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CryptoAmb\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Varuni Trivedi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Varuni Trivedi\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/486396e8ec102486f5426f2c8db770f1\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin, Ethereum aren&#8217;t as volatile now, so what&#8217;s the panic about\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-11-25T11:30:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":589,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/11\\\/bitcoin-g8cdaf8db1_1920-e1637817193519.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Bitcoin\",\"BTC Trading View\",\"Ethereum\",\"News\",\"News 1\",\"Social\",\"Trading View\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2021\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ambcrypto.com\\\/bitcoin-ethereum-arent-as-volatile-now-so-whats-the-panic-about\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin, Ethereum aren't as volatile now, so what's the panic about - 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