{"id":174656,"date":"2021-08-02T22:00:01","date_gmt":"2021-08-02T16:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=174656"},"modified":"2021-08-03T14:41:18","modified_gmt":"2021-08-03T09:11:18","slug":"why-this-analysts-bitcoin-to-go-to-15k-claim-might-be-unfounded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/why-this-analysts-bitcoin-to-go-to-15k-claim-might-be-unfounded\/","title":{"rendered":"Why this analyst&#8217;s &#8216;Bitcoin to go to $15k&#8217; claim might be unfounded"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>, over the years, has earned its fair share of supporters and detractors. Now, there are many analysts who analyze and predict a future for the king coin. But sometimes, those predictions fail. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">More often than not, what works best is a look at on-chain metrics. On observing some of those, it can perhaps be argued that one such assertion made by a popular analyst might turn out to be wrong.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">If <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> corrects from here (which would be quite healthy), the bears will come out in full force, projecting <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> to go to $15K.<\/p>\n<p>It will be fun.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1421797356715053056?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 1, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Bitcoin to $15,000?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not really. From the perspective of a correction, a slight fall would make sense and it would also be healthy. However, an almost <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/jVH5NmIO\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">62%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> drop sounds rather unlikely. Even for cynics. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is primarily because the numbers seemed to point to consolidation at best, discounting the possibility of a sharp fall. In order for a fall to $15k to become a reality, the market would have to sustain months-long bear pressure or a freefall. At this point, neither scenario seems possible.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_174683\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-174683\" style=\"width: 1723px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-174683 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1723\" height=\"515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff.jpg 1723w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff-300x90.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff-1024x306.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff-768x230.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/gff-1536x459.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1723px) 100vw, 1723px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-174683\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/coinstats.app\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coinstats<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the time of writing, BTC&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/SIP.png\">supply in profit<\/a> was<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> up by 17% from 65.8% to 82.5% in just 13 days. What&#8217;s more, realized profits registered by the market are at a 3 month high too.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_174658\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-174658\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-174658 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp.png 1800w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/rp-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-174658\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Bitcoin realized profits<\/em> | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/\">Glassnode &#8211; AMBCrypto<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the biggest proof that a bear run is unlikely right now. Additionally, the liquid supply which represents cumulative inflows and outflows over the entity\u2019s lifespan is at an all-time high. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A hike such as this is proof that a) Bitcoin is moving from smaller hands to bigger hands, and b) No bear market or bears pulling BTC to $15k<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_174662\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-174662\" style=\"width: 1362px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-174662 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1362\" height=\"650\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply.jpg 1362w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply-300x143.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply-1024x489.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/liquid-supply-768x367.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1362px) 100vw, 1362px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-174662\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Bitcoin liquid supply<\/em> | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/\">Glassnode<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h4><strong>What about investors?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Right now, investors too seem to be supporting bullish price action on the charts. This can be supported by rising <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/avg-sent-1.png\">investor sentiment<\/a> <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and the <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/new-addresses.png\">increasing number of addresses<\/a> on a daily basis. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The probability of a drastic price fall can also be disproven by the <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/mvrv-2.png\">MVRV ratio.<\/a> According to the same, Bitcoin is well-positioned in the positive zone. Finally, the NUPL also found that BTC is in the zone of Belief-Denial &#8211; Another good sign for the market.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_174657\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-174657\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-174657 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl.png 1800w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/nupl-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-174657\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Bitcoin NUPL<\/em> | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/\">Glassnode &#8211; AMBCrypto<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Once again, the cryptocurrency market is one without rules. So, there might just be a small chance that these on-chain metrics are wrong and might switch at the drop of a hat. If so, and if BTC does fall to $15k, despite all the evidence suggesting otherwise, wow.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin, over the years, has earned its fair share of supporters and detractors. Now, there are many analysts who analyze and predict a future for the king coin. But sometimes, those predictions fail. More often than not, what works best is a look at on-chain metrics. On observing some of those, it can perhaps be<a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/why-this-analysts-bitcoin-to-go-to-15k-claim-might-be-unfounded\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Why this analyst&#8217;s &#8216;Bitcoin to go to $15k&#8217; claim might be unfounded&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":43,"featured_media":174660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-174656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why this analyst&#039;s &#039;Bitcoin to go to $15k&#039; claim might be unfounded - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"At the time of writing, BTC&#039;s supply in profit was up by 17% from 65.8% to 82.5% in just 13 days. 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