{"id":173787,"date":"2021-07-30T13:30:52","date_gmt":"2021-07-30T08:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/?p=173787"},"modified":"2021-07-30T11:43:20","modified_gmt":"2021-07-30T06:13:20","slug":"bitcoin-to-100k-by-october-may-not-be-too-unrealistic-if","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-to-100k-by-october-may-not-be-too-unrealistic-if\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin to $100K by October may not be too unrealistic if&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> bouncing off lower lows swiftly over the last weekend, looking at the spike in volumes on 26 July, Futures traders were in for a surprise. As the entire market became more active following the 25% weekly gains, the Options market highlighted some <a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-traders-need-to-know-about-this-very-bullish-thing\/\">interesting trends.<\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even though these unexpected price moves stirred up the market, they couldn\u2019t push Bitcoin\u2019s price enough to spur the derivatives market. The reason? Despite its recent bullishness, Bitcoin remained close below the $40k-mark.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As much as most want to believe that this was a breakout, the crucial level of $42k is the one to look out for. The same was <a href=\"https:\/\/ecoinometrics.substack.com\/p\/ecoinometrics-on-chain-participation?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo0MTA1Njc1OCwicG9zdF9pZCI6MzkzMDM2ODcsIl8iOiJaNFJlZSIsImlhdCI6MTYyNzUwNDg1MiwiZXhwIjoxNjI3NTA4NDUyLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItMjkxNTgiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.aHQFcJ5W3nF5f7ebsrZD9uuFW2GlPFWSZO-6Xk6c1Qs\">highlighted<\/a> by a recent Ecoinometrics report.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;If you look at a price chart you\u2019ll see that this (40K level) doesn\u2019t count yet as a breakout. A real breakout would be a daily close above $42k which is pretty much the highest point BTC set in June after the crash.&#8221;<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure id=\"attachment_173852\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-173852\" style=\"width: 1456px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-173852 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1456\" height=\"1654\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall.png 1456w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall-264x300.png 264w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall-901x1024.png 901w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall-768x872.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Ecoino1putcall-1352x1536.png 1352w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1456px) 100vw, 1456px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-173852\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Ecoinometrics<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the Options market reveals a noticeable shift in sentiment too. Firstly, overall there were 7 puts for every 4 calls. This suggested that more traders are less worried about the downside. Also, a closer look at the contracts revealed that there are five puts for every two calls in July and one put for every call after that.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This means that the market is skewed towards puts for the July contract which, by the way, expires in a couple of days. After July, however, sentiment flowing back into neutral can be observed.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For 29 July, the eighth consecutive day of Bitcoin closing in the green on a one-day chart, BTC Options volume projected a bullish picture. The top five BTC Options volumes were calls. Interestingly, 210 DBT were calling the shots on Bitcoin\u2019s price reaching $100k by October-end.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_173853\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-173853\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-173853\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_top_btc_options_volumes__current_day_-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-173853\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/analytics.skew.com\/dashboard\/bitcoin-options\">Skew<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another interesting trend that was spotted was in the Realized volatility (RV) vs. Implied volatility (IV) charts of Bitcoin for six months. A parabolic rise in the IV amid the rising price meant that traders expect the prices to rise further. Such a parabolic move was last seen in May when Bitcoin rallied. Can that be the case this time too? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That depends on whether Bitcoin breaches the $42k mark by the end of this month.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_173854\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-173854\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-173854\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btcusd__iv_vs_rvfinal-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-173854\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source:<a href=\"https:\/\/analytics.skew.com\/dashboard\/bitcoin-options\"> Skew<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apart from that, Bitcoin\u2019s one-month put-call skew, which measures the cost of puts to calls or bearish bets to bullish bets, declined sharply from 15% to -2%, at press time. What&#8217;s more, the total one-week put-call skew declined from 13% to 5%.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_173855\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-173855\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-173855\" src=\"http:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew.png 1200w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/skew_btc_25d_skew-768x429.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-173855\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Skew<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This narrowing of the spread between prices for puts and calls and the narrowing between the IV and RV essentially implies that most investors, traders are not keen on another price drop. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, Bitcoin will lose this bullish narrative without a clean break above $42k. Any thought of BTC going past $100k should only be entertained then.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With Bitcoin bouncing off lower lows swiftly over the last weekend, looking at the spike in volumes on 26 July, Futures traders were in for a surprise. As the entire market became more active following the 25% weekly gains, the Options market highlighted some interesting trends.\u00a0 Even though these unexpected price moves stirred up the<a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-to-100k-by-october-may-not-be-too-unrealistic-if\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Bitcoin to $100K by October may not be too unrealistic if&#8230;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":173856,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,360,66,3,4,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-173787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin-news","category-btc-trading-view","category-new-news","category-news","category-social","category-trading-view"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin to $100K by October may not be too unrealistic if... - AMBCrypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With Bitcoin bouncing off lower lows swiftly over the last weekend, looking at the spike in volumes on 26 July, Futures traders were in for..\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-to-100k-by-october-may-not-be-too-unrealistic-if\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin to $100K by October may not be too unrealistic if... - AMBCrypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With Bitcoin bouncing off lower lows swiftly over the last weekend, looking at the spike in volumes on 26 July, Futures traders were in for a surprise. 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